{"id":36832,"date":"2025-12-15T17:20:51","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T09:20:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=36832"},"modified":"2025-12-15T17:20:51","modified_gmt":"2025-12-15T09:20:51","slug":"dollar-weakens-as-fed-signals-further-cuts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/dollar-weakens-as-fed-signals-further-cuts\/","title":{"rendered":"Dollar Weakens as Fed Signals Further Cuts"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/Image_fx-2025-10-13T133508917-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32046\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USDX dips to <strong>98.13<\/strong>, its lowest since late October<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fed cuts rates and opens door for further easing<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Political pressure from Trump raises concerns over Fed independence<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>US Dollar Index (USDX)<\/strong> continued its downward slide on Friday, slipping to a fresh near <strong>two-month low of 98.134<\/strong>, as markets digest the Federal Reserve\u2019s latest policy pivot and growing political influence over central bank decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As expected, the <strong>Fed delivered a 25 basis-point rate cut<\/strong> during its December FOMC meeting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Fed Chair Jerome Powell said officials remain divided on interest-rate cuts, announcing a 25 basis point reduction but signaling a pause as they assess inflation and labor-market trends <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4QO6U2IfMp\">https:\/\/t.co\/4QO6U2IfMp<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PMHgefDpHD\">pic.twitter.com\/PMHgefDpHD<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1998943319892639993?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 11, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>However, Chair Powell\u2019s tone surprised traders by leaning more dovish than anticipated, suggesting further easing could be warranted in 2026 if inflation continues to trend lower and the labour market softens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Adding to the pressure, <strong>President Trump stated in an interview with the Wall Street Journal<\/strong> that he was considering <strong>Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett<\/strong> as potential candidates for Fed Chair.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">President Donald Trump said Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh are his top choices to lead the Federal Reserve in an interview with the Wall Street Journal <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gZTOj6tqco\">https:\/\/t.co\/gZTOj6tqco<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1999585157586600312?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 12, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump added that he believed rates should be cut to <strong>1% or lower<\/strong>, and implied the Fed should <strong>consult him on policy<\/strong>\u2014comments that raised <strong>fresh questions about the independence of the central bank<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">After the Fed&#39;s rate cut to the 3.50%-3.75% range, Trump said rates should be lower and confirmed meetings with Kevin Warsh as he considers candidates for the next Fed Chair <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0zMH0ab8hH\">pic.twitter.com\/0zMH0ab8hH<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1998953384708338120?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 11, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>These factors combined to fuel USD selling, with <strong>the USDX now on track for its third straight weekly loss<\/strong>, weighed by rising expectations of two more rate cuts in the year ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The Dollar Index is currently hovering around <strong>97.98<\/strong>, flat on the day after falling sharply from its recent peak above <strong>100<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Price action has broken below the key 30-day moving average and is now flirting with support around <strong>97.90<\/strong>, last seen in mid-October.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/2_image-21-1024x446.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-36833\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Momentum has shifted bearish, with the 5- and 10-day MAs rolling over and pointing downward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The MACD has crossed below the signal line and is diving deeper into negative territory, suggesting growing bearish momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A sustained drop below <strong>97.90<\/strong> could trigger a further decline toward the <strong>95.80<\/strong> level, the multi-month low from August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the upside, a recovery above <strong>98.50\u201399.00<\/strong> would be needed to stabilise the short-term outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Bottom Line<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The dollar remains vulnerable in the near term as markets lean further into the Fed&#8217;s dovish shift and weigh potential political interference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders should watch for a weekly close below the 98.00 threshold, which could trigger accelerated downside momentum into Q1 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Create a live <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">VT Markets account<\/a> today to access our platform features, including market insights and educational content.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USDX nears two-month low after dovish Fed and Trump comments on future monetary policy. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":32046,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[9,11],"class_list":["post-36832","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-dollar","tag-indices"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36832","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36832"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36832\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32046"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36832"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36832"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36832"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}