{"id":34400,"date":"2025-11-10T11:31:44","date_gmt":"2025-11-10T03:31:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=34400"},"modified":"2025-11-10T11:31:44","modified_gmt":"2025-11-10T03:31:44","slug":"oil-prices-rebound-as-u-s-shutdown-nears-end","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/oil-prices-rebound-as-u-s-shutdown-nears-end\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil Prices Rebound as U.S. Shutdown Nears End"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"573\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/Oil3-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41758\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>WTI crude<\/strong> rose <strong>0.84%<\/strong> to <strong>$60.25<\/strong> a barrel, while <strong>Brent<\/strong> gained <strong>0.74%<\/strong> to <strong>$64.10<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markets expect the end of the <strong>40-day U.S. government shutdown<\/strong>, which will restore pay to 800,000 federal workers and revive demand sentiment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Oil prices advanced on Monday as progress toward ending the prolonged U.S. government shutdown lifted expectations for a rebound in economic activity and fuel consumption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>West Texas Intermediate (WTI) climbed <strong>50 cents<\/strong> to <strong>$60.25<\/strong>, while Brent crude rose <strong>47 cents<\/strong> to <strong>$64.10<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Senate is moving toward a vote to reopen the government, potentially ending the record <strong>40-day<\/strong> closure that has disrupted federal operations and delayed key data releases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Senate convenes for rare Sunday session amid shutdown <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/VxvsS9klgZ\">https:\/\/t.co\/VxvsS9klgZ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1987714825867395560?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 10, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts suggest that restoring pay to nearly <strong>800,000<\/strong> furloughed federal workers will improve consumer confidence and economic spending, helping support near-term oil demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>IG\u2019s Tony Sycamore noted the reopening \u201cshould help improve risk sentiment\u201d and could lift WTI toward <strong>$62<\/strong> per barrel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Supply Concerns Temper Gains<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite Monday\u2019s gains, oil remains under pressure from persistent supply concerns. Both benchmarks fell about <strong>2%<\/strong> last week, marking their second consecutive weekly decline as fears of oversupply mounted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Ot8QwjXKYV\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">OPEC+ alliance agreed to raise output slightly in December<\/a><\/strong>, while pausing further hikes through the first quarter to avoid flooding the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Yet, crude inventories continue to rise in the United States, and floating storage in Asian waters has <strong>doubled<\/strong> in recent weeks as tighter Western sanctions <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/OU5Rhjuiiy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"\">curbed imports to China and India<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition, <strong>Indian refiners<\/strong> have shifted toward sourcing barrels from the Middle East and the Americas to replace sanctioned Russian supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Russian producer <strong>Lukoil<\/strong> faces growing export disruptions ahead of the <strong>21 November<\/strong> U.S. deadline for companies to sever business ties, following the collapse of its sale to Swiss trader Gunvor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Russia\u2019s crude oil production edged up in October, but remained below its OPEC+ quota as international pressure mounted on the country\u2019s energy sector <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Ot8QwjXKYV\">https:\/\/t.co\/Ot8QwjXKYV<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1986784429230997749?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Adding to the complex backdrop, U.S. President <strong>Donald Trump<\/strong> granted <strong>Hungary<\/strong> a one-year exemption from sanctions on Russian oil imports, deepening oversupply concerns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Trump said that Hungary faced unique challenges in securing oil and gas due to its lack of sea ports, and so he was considering a possible exemption from Russian oil sanctions <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wKAK5AlcPP\">https:\/\/t.co\/wKAK5AlcPP<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Jxupblew8z\">pic.twitter.com\/Jxupblew8z<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1986970677262327983?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">November 8, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Crude oil prices edged higher toward <strong>$60.21<\/strong>, extending their short-term rebound as buyers regained control after defending support near <strong>$58.80<\/strong>. The 15-minute chart shows price action forming a gradual uptrend, with moving averages (5, 10, 30) realigning in a bullish crossover and the <strong>MACD<\/strong> turning positive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The intraday high around <strong>$60.44<\/strong> now acts as the immediate resistance, while momentum suggests buyers may attempt another breakout if prices sustain above the <strong>$60.00<\/strong> mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/image-9-1024x454.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-34401\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If oil holds above <strong>$60.00<\/strong>, a retest of <strong>$61.00\u2013$61.50<\/strong> looks plausible. However, failure to sustain current levels could invite fresh selling pressure, dragging prices back toward <strong>$59.50<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, the short-term outlook leans mildly bullish, though the broader trend remains vulnerable to macroeconomic headlines and shifts in global demand sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Forecast<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If the U.S. shutdown officially ends and risk sentiment improves, WTI may extend gains toward the <strong>$61.50\u2013$62.00<\/strong> range in the near term. A failure to pass the reopening bill or signs of renewed inventory builds could cap upside momentum and drive prices back toward <strong>$59.00\u2013$59.50<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With OPEC+ output still on track to edge higher in December, traders will watch global storage data and global headlines closely for clues on the next direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login?_gl=1*5vyjdn*_gcl_au*Njc1MzM0NjY0LjE3NTEzNTM4MTc.*_ga*MjA5ODA0NDIzNC4xNzI3OTE1ODQ1*_ga_J26NL1ZVX7*czE3NTE4NzkxMDYkbzMwOCRnMSR0MTc1MTg3OTExOCRqNDgkbDAkaDA.*_ga_6XQ8153GYW*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzU3JGcxJHQxNzUxODc5MTE4JGo1MCRsMCRoMA..*_ga_BG6LYEHPX1*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMTgkajUwJGwwJGgw*_ga_J8BRGZSREX*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_7CG6454YR5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_69Z54R4H9N*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_CY2VCKFC3C*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_TXZ07R2C21*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_17TMGY9BBE*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_MWDVVSEVL5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_2QCC3S2748*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_E7D2PCX624*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_XJ4037XKK6*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_EJCVQDC7VT*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajQyJGwwJGgw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">start trading<\/a> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Crude prices climbed on optimism that the U.S. government shutdown could soon end, offsetting concerns over rising global supply. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":41758,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[5,66],"class_list":["post-34400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-commodities","tag-oil"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34400","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34400"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34400\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41758"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34400"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34400"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34400"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}