{"id":30351,"date":"2025-09-08T06:09:18","date_gmt":"2025-09-08T06:09:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=30351"},"modified":"2025-09-08T06:09:18","modified_gmt":"2025-09-08T06:09:18","slug":"usdjpy-rises-amid-yen-turmoil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/usdjpy-rises-amid-yen-turmoil\/","title":{"rendered":"USDJPY Rises Amid Yen Turmoil"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/download-42-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-19088\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>USD\/JPY is up 0.52% at 148.163, with resistance building near the 148.20\u2013148.40 zone.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The LDP leadership election, triggered by Ishiba&#8217;s resignation, may prompt yen weakening in the short term.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Japanese yen continued its slide against the dollar early Monday, with USD\/JPY up 0.769 (+0.52%) to 148.163 as of 08:04 GMT. Traders are beginning to price in short-term instability following<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Shigeru Ishiba\u2019s resignation, with Japan\u2019s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) now set to hold a leadership election on 4 October.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Japan&#39;s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigned, ushering in a potentially lengthy period of policy paralysis at a shaky moment for the world&#39;s fourth-largest economy <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/wf7hO0nZCY\">https:\/\/t.co\/wf7hO0nZCY<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/jEhr3rD27y\">pic.twitter.com\/jEhr3rD27y<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1964755546567069707?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 7, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The yen could weaken further as markets anticipate policy shifts depending on the incoming leadership. Political turnover typically raises <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Pr2FqNsUVl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">expectations for new fiscal stimulus<\/a> or shifts in monetary guidance, even if the <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9UyFtSgU5Y\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Bank of Japan (BoJ)<\/a> remains on its ultra-dovish course.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That said, USD downside risks are beginning to surface, with markets still digesting <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/cPi1CqyU3r\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">weaker US data<\/a> from last week and Fed commentary hinting at peak-rate positioning. This tempers expectations of a prolonged USD\/JPY rally above 149.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Overview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">USD\/JPY is trading at <strong>148.16<\/strong>, up +0.52%, showing strength after rebounding from the <strong>147.88<\/strong> support zone. The chart highlights a clear recovery from the April low of <strong>139.88<\/strong>, with recent price action consolidating in a range between 147\u2013149.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/image-8-1024x448.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-30352\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moving averages (5,10,30) are tightening, which signals indecision, but the shorter MAs are slightly tilting upward, suggesting buyers may be regaining control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MACD is flat but hovering near the zero line, reflecting a pause in momentum after recent volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Overall, the pair remains supported above 147, with resistance around <strong>149\u2013150<\/strong>. A breakout above 150 would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below 147 could trigger renewed weakness.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Traders should also watch BOJ commentary and US yield movements, as both remain key drivers for yen volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Political Context and Forward Risk<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The upcoming LDP vote injects short-term volatility risk into the yen. If the new leadership promises further economic stimulus or leans hawkish on structural reform, the JPY could find its footing again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, any ambiguity or populist leaning may push USD\/JPY higher on safe haven outflows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, traders must weigh Friday\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/charts\/consumer-price-index\/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">US CPI release<\/a>, which could move the needle on Fed expectations. The inflation print will help determine whether the dollar resumes strength or pulls back after peaking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Forecast<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While political turbulence may weaken the yen further in the coming days, traders remain cautious ahead of this week\u2019s <strong>U.S. CPI report<\/strong> and Fed commentary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A weaker inflation print or dovish tone from policymakers could halt the dollar\u2019s rally, stalling USD\/JPY\u2019s advance. Short-term upside may persist, but long-term conviction remains fragile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login?_gl=1*5vyjdn*_gcl_au*Njc1MzM0NjY0LjE3NTEzNTM4MTc.*_ga*MjA5ODA0NDIzNC4xNzI3OTE1ODQ1*_ga_J26NL1ZVX7*czE3NTE4NzkxMDYkbzMwOCRnMSR0MTc1MTg3OTExOCRqNDgkbDAkaDA.*_ga_6XQ8153GYW*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzU3JGcxJHQxNzUxODc5MTE4JGo1MCRsMCRoMA..*_ga_BG6LYEHPX1*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMTgkajUwJGwwJGgw*_ga_J8BRGZSREX*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_7CG6454YR5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_69Z54R4H9N*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_CY2VCKFC3C*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_TXZ07R2C21*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_17TMGY9BBE*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_MWDVVSEVL5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_2QCC3S2748*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_E7D2PCX624*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_XJ4037XKK6*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_EJCVQDC7VT*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajQyJGwwJGgw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">start trading<\/a> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/JPY hits 148.16 as political instability in Japan weighs on the yen. Traders brace for volatility ahead of October&#8217;s LDP leadership vote. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":19088,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[10,45],"class_list":["post-30351","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-forex","tag-yen"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"USD\/JPY hits 148.16 as political instability in Japan weighs on the yen. 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