{"id":29621,"date":"2025-08-26T08:10:02","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T08:10:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=29621"},"modified":"2025-08-26T08:10:02","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T08:10:02","slug":"oil-slips-as-sanction-risks-keep-market-on-edge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/oil-slips-as-sanction-risks-keep-market-on-edge\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil Slips as Sanction Risks Keep Market on Edge"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"573\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/Oil3-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-41758\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Brent crude trades at <strong>$67.75<\/strong>, down <strong>0.7%<\/strong>, while WTI slips <strong>0.8%<\/strong> to <strong>$64.27<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Geopolitical risks from U.S. sanctions and Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy assets underpin volatility.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oil prices eased in early Tuesday trade, paring part of Monday\u2019s gains but remaining within a narrow range as traders kept their focus on geopolitics. Brent crude fell to <strong>$67.75<\/strong> a barrel and WTI declined to <strong>$64.27<\/strong>, after both benchmarks rallied nearly 2% in the previous session.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The global tensions are front and centre. Reports of <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uKKtZClvN6\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">fresh Ukrainian strikes on Moscow\u2019s energy infrastructure<\/a> have heightened concern over disruptions, while Washington is weighing additional sanctions that could further restrict Russian crude flows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Analysts note these risks are already embedded in a growing risk premium, but actual enforcement could tighten supply quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the demand side, the picture is less supportive. Recent U.S. refinery utilisation data suggests weaker seasonal demand than usual, while China\u2019s industrial output figures have shown slower momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That combination has capped the upside for crude even as supply risks loom large.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries have exacerbated a summer crisis on the domestic fuel market, leading to a spike in prices amid high seasonal demand <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/uKKtZClvN6\">https:\/\/t.co\/uKKtZClvN6<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1959980321597694104?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 25, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The risk premium was reinforced by reports of fresh Ukrainian strikes on Moscow\u2019s energy infrastructure, while the prospect of new U.S. sanctions aimed at <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HF2PmNhM7u\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">tightening Russian exports<\/a> continues to loom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Together, these developments highlight supply-side uncertainty even as global demand indicators remain uneven.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Crude oil (CL-OIL) has been highly volatile this year, swinging from April\u2019s low at $55.11 up to July\u2019s high near $77.90 before sliding back toward the mid-$60s. Currently trading around $64.31, the price has found some stability after recent declines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moving averages (5, 10, 30) are still pointing slightly lower, reflecting residual bearish pressure, but the short-term averages are trying to turn up, suggesting an attempt to base out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/1_image-16.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29622\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The MACD, though still below zero, is showing early signs of recovery as the histogram narrows and begins to flip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In the short term, resistance sits at $66\u201367, followed by stronger resistance near $70, where price previously stalled. On the downside, $60 remains the key support level, with $55 acting as the major floor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A decisive break above $67 could open the path back toward $72\u201375, but if $60 gives way, crude risks a deeper move lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For now, the market appears to be in consolidation, awaiting fresh direction from supply-demand headlines, <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/vJO67D7nh0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">OPEC+ production signals<\/a>, and US inventory reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Forecast<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If sanction risks escalate and infrastructure attacks persist, WTI could grind higher toward <strong>$67.00\u2013$70.00<\/strong>. Conversely, if diplomatic efforts gain traction and flows remain stable, crude could slide back toward <strong>$61.00\u2013$60.00<\/strong>, resuming its sideways trajectory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login?_gl=1*5vyjdn*_gcl_au*Njc1MzM0NjY0LjE3NTEzNTM4MTc.*_ga*MjA5ODA0NDIzNC4xNzI3OTE1ODQ1*_ga_J26NL1ZVX7*czE3NTE4NzkxMDYkbzMwOCRnMSR0MTc1MTg3OTExOCRqNDgkbDAkaDA.*_ga_6XQ8153GYW*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzU3JGcxJHQxNzUxODc5MTE4JGo1MCRsMCRoMA..*_ga_BG6LYEHPX1*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMTgkajUwJGwwJGgw*_ga_J8BRGZSREX*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_7CG6454YR5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_69Z54R4H9N*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_CY2VCKFC3C*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjIkajQ2JGwwJGgw*_ga_TXZ07R2C21*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_17TMGY9BBE*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_MWDVVSEVL5*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_2QCC3S2748*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjUkajQzJGwwJGgw*_ga_E7D2PCX624*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_XJ4037XKK6*czE3NTE4NzkxMjYkbzUkZzAkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajYwJGwwJGgw*_ga_EJCVQDC7VT*czE3NTE4NzkxMDgkbzUkZzEkdDE3NTE4NzkxMjYkajQyJGwwJGgw\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">start trading<\/a> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WTI drifts to $64.27 as traders weigh Russian supply threats against a choppy global backdrop. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":41758,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[66],"class_list":["post-29621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-oil"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - 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07:44:16","breadcrumb_settings":null,"limit_modified_date":false,"open_ai":null,"ai":null,"created":"2026-03-02 11:30:47","updated":"2026-06-24 00:54:09"},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/category\/analysis\/\" title=\"Today&apos;s Analysis\">Today's Analysis<\/a>\n<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\tOil Slips as Sanction Risks Keep Market on Edge\n<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia"},{"label":"Today's Analysis","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/category\/analysis\/"},{"label":"Oil Slips as Sanction Risks Keep Market on 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