{"id":21146,"date":"2025-04-22T08:47:19","date_gmt":"2025-04-22T08:47:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=21146"},"modified":"2025-04-22T08:47:19","modified_gmt":"2025-04-22T08:47:19","slug":"pound-hits-7-month-high-against-weaker-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/pound-hits-7-month-high-against-weaker-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Pound Hits 7-Month High Against Weaker Dollar"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/gbp2-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-17032\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>GBP\/USD peaks at 1.34238<\/strong>, marking a 7-month high.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>UK <strong>headline inflation slows to 2.6%<\/strong>, while <strong>services inflation dips to 4.7%<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Markets price in <strong>86bps of BoE rate cuts<\/strong>, up from 75bps earlier this month.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>US dollar index hits a 3-year low<\/strong>, weighed down by Fed credibility concerns.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>British pound extended gains on Tuesday<\/strong>, breaking above the <strong>$1.34 level<\/strong> before settling around <strong>1.3376<\/strong>, as markets digested <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/04\/16\/uk-inflation-in-march-2025.html\">soft UK inflation data<\/a><\/strong> and a tumbling U.S. dollar. The latest CPI figures showed a broader cooling across both headline and services prices, reducing pressure on the <strong>Bank of England<\/strong> and prompting a rise in rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">A resurgence in UK inflation that has kept the Bank of England nervous about cutting interest rates is set to be curbed by energy prices and the dollar tumbling in response to Trump\u2019s trade war <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/RZXDA4jVDW\">https:\/\/t.co\/RZXDA4jVDW<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1912895252668571819?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 17, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>While softer inflation data has tilted rate cut expectations toward <strong>86bps by year-end<\/strong>, the bulk of sterling\u2019s strength was underpinned by a <strong>broad dollar selloff<\/strong>, with the <strong>USDX <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/middle-east\/dollar-wallows-near-3-year-low-trumps-attacks-fed-chief-unnerve-traders-2025-04-22\/\">falling to its lowest in three years<\/a><\/strong>. Market participants continue to react to political pressure on the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/trump-warns-economic-slowdown-unless-fed-cuts-rates-2025-04-21\/\">Federal Reserve<\/a><\/strong>, including fresh comments from President Trump attacking Fed Chair Powell\u2019s cautious stance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>GBP\/USD extended its <strong>bullish momentum<\/strong> from the 1.32657 low, climbing steadily to a peak at <strong>1.34238<\/strong>, but signs of exhaustion have begun to surface. Price has since retraced back toward the <strong>1.33660\u20131.33760 zone<\/strong>, flirting with short-term support near the 30-period moving average.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/image-25-1024x442.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-21147\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Picture: Sterling momentum fades near 1.3424 as MACD weakens, as seen on the <\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>MACD histogram<\/strong> is now crossing below the zero line, and the signal lines have turned downward, suggesting <strong>waning bullish momentum<\/strong>. The moving averages (5, 10, 30) show a short-term crossover to the downside, reinforcing the potential for a deeper pullback if support fails to hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A decisive break below <strong>1.33660<\/strong> could open up room toward <strong>1.33200<\/strong>, while bulls would need to reclaim <strong>1.34000<\/strong> for upside continuation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With both macro trends and rate path divergence now favouring sterling in the short term, <strong>GBP\/USD may attempt to retest 1.3450<\/strong> if dollar weakness persists. However, traders should remain cautious of potential reversals if the BoE signals discomfort with easing bets or if U.S. data surprises to the upside.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a><\/strong><strong> and <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login?_gl=1*1azgbap*_gcl_au*NjE5NTE3MjY4LjE3NDQ2MDA3NDI.*_ga*MTY4OTgwNTU5Mi4xNzM2NzQ2MTgy*_ga_J26NL1ZVX7*czE3NDQ5NDQ0NTYkbzEyMCRnMCR0MTc0NDk0NDQ1NiRqNjAkbDAkaDA.\">start trading<\/a><\/strong><strong> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>GBP\/USD climbs to 1.34238 as UK inflation cools and the dollar slumps; traders ramp up BoE rate cut bets. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":17032,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[10],"class_list":["post-21146","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-forex"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21146","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21146"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21146\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17032"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21146"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21146"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21146"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}