{"id":20478,"date":"2025-04-10T06:40:16","date_gmt":"2025-04-10T06:40:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=20478"},"modified":"2025-04-10T06:40:16","modified_gmt":"2025-04-10T06:40:16","slug":"nasdaq-100-retreats-despite-global-relief-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/nasdaq-100-retreats-despite-global-relief-rally\/","title":{"rendered":"NASDAQ 100 Retreats Despite Global Relief Rally"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/image_fx-56-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20480\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Points<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>NASDAQ 100 falls <strong>1.26%<\/strong>, closing at <strong>18,924.20<\/strong> after hitting an intraday high of <strong>19,244.60<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Trump announces <strong>90-day tariff pause<\/strong>, but retains <strong>125% tariffs on Chinese goods<\/strong> and a <strong>10% blanket tariff<\/strong> globally.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bond yields ease from crisis levels; 10-year Treasury retreats to <strong>4.2774%<\/strong> from a <strong>4.5150%<\/strong> high.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p>Markets rallied sharply overnight, but the <strong>NASDAQ 100 failed to hold gains on Thursday<\/strong>, giving up early momentum to close down <strong>1.26% at 18,924.20<\/strong>, even after hitting a high of <strong>19,244.60<\/strong> in the morning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Asian stocks bounced back, following a day of wild swings on Wall Street <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/SELJiehGCU\">https:\/\/t.co\/SELJiehGCU<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/LEbG907J1m\">pic.twitter.com\/LEbG907J1m<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1909471267830522005?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 8, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>While <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2025\/04\/10\/european-markets-stocks-news-data-and-earnings.html\">Asian and European indices surged<\/a><\/strong>, sentiment in U.S. tech stocks deteriorated during the session as traders digested a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aljazeera.com\/news\/liveblog\/2025\/4\/9\/trump-tariffs-stocks-dive-as-world-braces-for-duties-to-begin-at-midnight\" title=\"\">temporary tariff pause<\/a><\/strong> from President Donald Trump, casting doubt on its scope and sustainability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">White House Flip-Flop Fuels Uncertainty<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump\u2019s abrupt decision to <strong>pause most new tariffs for 90 days<\/strong> initially sparked a global relief rally. However, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/trumps-latest-tariffs-loom-set-deepen-global-trade-war-2025-04-09\/\">tariffs on Chinese goods were raised to 125%<\/a><\/strong>, and a <strong>10% blanket tariff on all other imports remains<\/strong>, limiting the impact. Traders, particularly in U.S. futures, quickly shifted their view as <strong>doubts over policy coherence<\/strong> and leadership credibility returned to the forefront.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As <strong>Westpac\u2019s Martin Whetton<\/strong> put it, markets are \u201clooking on with horror\u201d as <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/global-markets-wrapup-1-2025-04-10\/\">the administration oscillates between major policy reversals and distractions<\/a><\/strong>, such as executive orders on water pressure, during a period of extreme market stress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While <strong>Japan\u2019s Nikkei surged 8%<\/strong>, and <strong>EU futures jumped over 8%<\/strong>, U.S. tech stocks appear <strong>unconvinced<\/strong>. The <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/finance\/investing\/the-market-is-in-a-new-mode-sell-everything-american-dda2ade4\">\u201csell America\u201d trade<\/a><\/strong> is heating up, with foreign exchange flows favouring the <strong>yen<\/strong>, <strong>Swiss franc<\/strong>, and <strong>gold<\/strong>, rather than the dollar or U.S. equity benchmarks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Bond Market Shows Signs of Stabilisation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After days of carnage in the Treasury market, the <strong>10-year yield eased to 4.2774%<\/strong>, down from Wednesday\u2019s peak of <strong>4.5150%<\/strong>, which had reignited fears of a 2020-style \u201cdash for cash.\u201d Still, structural worries persist. <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com.au\/news\/world-news\/trumps-90-day-tariff-pause-sparks-stock-surge\">Analysts at LPL Financial<\/a><\/strong> cited <strong>sticky inflation, reduced foreign demand, hedge fund deleveraging<\/strong>, and <strong>illiquidity<\/strong> as core risks to bond market stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed minutes released Wednesday revealed that <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/us\/fed-minutes-may-show-scope-tariff-debate-ahead-trumps-liberation-day-2025-04-09\/\">policymakers are deeply concerned about inflation<\/a><\/strong>, with little appetite for immediate cuts. Markets now price in <strong>80 basis points of easing by year-end<\/strong>, down from <strong>100 bps earlier in the week<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>NAS100<\/strong> shows a <strong>significant reversal<\/strong> from the <strong>16633.95 low<\/strong>, forming a <strong>classic V-shaped recovery<\/strong> supported by <strong>strong bullish momentum<\/strong>. After a <strong>prolonged downtrend<\/strong>, the index <strong>bottomed out<\/strong> and began establishing <strong>higher highs and higher lows<\/strong>\u2014a <strong>clear shift in structure<\/strong>. This rally was confirmed by a <strong>bullish MACD crossover<\/strong> well below the zero line, with <strong>expanding green histogram bars<\/strong> and <strong>diverging signal lines<\/strong>, indicating <strong>strengthening momentum<\/strong>. The <strong>5, 10, and 30-period moving averages<\/strong> all realigned into a <strong>bullish stack<\/strong>, further validating the uptrend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/image-12-1024x438.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20479\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Picture: Buyers dominate the second leg as resistance at 19244.6 briefly caps the move, as seen on the <\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Price action broke through multiple resistance levels<\/strong>, most notably surging past the <strong>psychological 18000 level<\/strong> and peaking around <strong>19244.60<\/strong>. This area is now acting as <strong>near-term resistance<\/strong>, with price entering a <strong>sideways consolidation<\/strong> just below it. Despite the <strong>minor pullback<\/strong>, the <strong>trend remains structurally bullish<\/strong> as long as price holds above <strong>key support around 18600\u201318800<\/strong>. If momentum resumes, a <strong>breakout beyond 19250<\/strong> could open the path toward <strong>retesting previous highs<\/strong>. The <strong>technical posture remains constructive<\/strong>, but <strong>momentum traders<\/strong> should watch for a <strong>MACD rollover<\/strong> or <strong>breakdown of the MA stack<\/strong> as potential signals of <strong>exhaustion<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Cautious Forecast<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The NASDAQ 100&#8217;s failure to hold onto gains, despite an extraordinary global bounce, reflects a <strong>growing disconnect between policy relief headlines and trader confidence<\/strong>. With <strong>tariffs on China climbing<\/strong> and the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/us\/feds-musalem-sees-growth-slipping-below-trend-higher-inflation-risk-2025-04-09\/\">Fed committed to holding rates<\/a><\/strong>, tech stocks face margin pressure and volatility ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Until clarity emerges on trade negotiations, and unless Friday\u2019s <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/cpi\/\">CPI and PPI data<\/a><\/strong> surprise to the downside, expect <strong>further chop in NASDAQ futures<\/strong>, with <strong>18,500<\/strong> acting as the next key support. A breakdown below could retest the <strong>16,600<\/strong> zone. Resistance remains firm at <strong>19,250<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a><\/strong><strong> and <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a><\/strong><strong> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NASDAQ 100 slips after Wednesday\u2019s historic surge, with futures turning lower amid fresh doubts about White House credibility. &#8211; vtmarkets.com <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":20480,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[11],"class_list":["post-20478","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-indices"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20478","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20478"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20478\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20480"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20478"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20478"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20478"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}