{"id":20341,"date":"2025-04-09T03:06:08","date_gmt":"2025-04-09T03:06:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=20341"},"modified":"2025-04-09T03:06:08","modified_gmt":"2025-04-09T03:06:08","slug":"cl-oil-dips-amid-escalating-us-china-tensions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/cl-oil-dips-amid-escalating-us-china-tensions\/","title":{"rendered":"CL-OIL Dips Amid Escalating US\u2013China Tensions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/1_download-4-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20342\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>CL-OIL<\/strong> hit a low of <strong>$56.690<\/strong>, down <strong>2.68%<\/strong> from the open of <strong>$58.252<\/strong>.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>MACD<\/strong> is indicating negative momentum, with the market trending downward.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>U.S. crude stockpiles<\/strong> fell by 1.1 million barrels, offering some positive signs amidst broader bearish sentiment.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Oil Prices Drop Amid Rising Trade War Concerns<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Oil prices have experienced a notable drop, with <strong>CL-OIL<\/strong> (West Texas Intermediate crude) falling to its <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/oil-prices-climb-1-after-heavy-us-tariff-driven-selloff-2025-04-08\/\">lowest levels in over four years<\/a>. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">China refused to bow to what it called &#39;blackmail&#39; from the US as a global trade war ignited by Trump&#39;s sweeping tariffs showed little sign of abating <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/WLpmBPasnT\">https:\/\/t.co\/WLpmBPasnT<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2kukKD0U9g\">pic.twitter.com\/2kukKD0U9g<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1909583252442034183?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 8, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The steep decline in oil prices is attributed to mounting concerns surrounding the <strong>ongoing trade war between the U.S. and China<\/strong>, the world\u2019s two largest economies. This conflict has led to fears of a global recession, which in turn threatens oil demand. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"451\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/9.4_1-1024x451.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-20343\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Picture: CL-OIL continues its downward movement with key support at 56.690,\u00a0as seen on the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">CL-OIL decreased by <strong>1.04<\/strong>%, closing at <strong>57.645 <\/strong>after opening at <strong>58.252<\/strong>. The commodity saw a decline, reaching a high of <strong>58.365 <\/strong>before dropping further to close near <strong>57.645<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The moving averages (MA 5,10,30) indicate a bearish trend, with the shorter-term moving averages crossing below the longer-term ones. This suggests potential further downside movement. The MACD (12,26,9) confirms this sentiment, with the MACD line (blue) remaining below the signal line (yellow), showing a negative histogram.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Key levels to monitor include <strong>58.365 <\/strong>as immediate resistance and <strong>56.690 <\/strong>as support. A break below support could suggest further declines, while a rebound above resistance could indicate a reversal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">U.S.-China Trade War Intensifies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The escalation of the U.S.-China trade war was marked by <strong>U.S. President Donald Trump\u2019s<\/strong> imposition of a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-au\/news\/politics\/trump-tariffs-live-updates-sec-bessent-tells-abc-deals-could-come-very-quickly\/ar-AA1Cqn5L?ocid=BingNewsSerp\">104% tariff on Chinese imports<\/a><\/strong>, which came into effect on <strong>April 5<\/strong>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/money\/markets\/china-imposes-34-reciprocal-tariffs-on-imports-of-us-goods-in-retaliation-for-trump-s-trade-war\/ar-AA1ChQeq?ocid=BingNewsSerp\"><strong>Beijing has retaliated<\/strong><\/a> by increasing its tariffs on U.S. goods, which has further fueled fears of a global economic slowdown and reduced oil consumption.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The ongoing tensions and the risk of prolonged tariffs have amplified worries that global oil demand, especially from China, could take a severe hit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">OPEC+ Production Increase Adds to Pressure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Eight OPEC+ countries unexpectedly agreed to advance their plan to phase out oil output cuts by increasing output by 411,000 barrels per day in May, a decision that prompted oil prices to extend earlier sharp losses <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/l6LuptVWeZ\">https:\/\/t.co\/l6LuptVWeZ<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/0wEZgIkN9a\">pic.twitter.com\/0wEZgIkN9a<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1907898400399568906?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 3, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">OPEC+ has also contributed to the bearish outlook by agreeing to increase output by <strong>411,000 barrels per day<\/strong> in May, a move expected to exacerbate the supply glut in the market. With demand concerns intensifying, <strong>Goldman Sachs<\/strong> has lowered its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com\/oil-price-crash-outlook-forecast-goldman-sachs-trump-tariffs-opec-2025-4\">price forecasts<\/a>, predicting that <strong>Brent crude<\/strong> could fall to <strong>$62<\/strong> by <strong>December 2025<\/strong>, with further declines to <strong>$55<\/strong> by <strong>December 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Mixed Data on U.S. Crude Inventories<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In an unexpected twist, <a href=\"https:\/\/english.news.cn\/northamerica\/20250409\/d55c5e11e97f4e8199eb2faa565a6b86\/c.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com\"><strong>U.S. crude inventories<\/strong> fell by <strong>1.1 million barrels<\/strong><\/a> in the week ending April 4, according to data from the <strong>American Petroleum Institute (API)<\/strong>. This contrasts with analyst expectations for a build of around <strong>1.4 million barrels<\/strong>. The official data from the <strong>U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)<\/strong> is due later, which may provide more insights into the demand trends in the U.S.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Oil&#8217;s Market Outlook<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The outlook for oil remains volatile, with traders closely monitoring the ongoing trade tensions, OPEC+ decisions, and U.S. inventory data. Short-term fluctuations are expected, but the overall bearish sentiment may persist unless there are significant signs of demand recovery, especially from China.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a><\/strong><strong>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a><\/strong><strong>&nbsp;now.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/#facebook\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/#facebook\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/#facebook\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/#facebook\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/#facebook\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/#facebook\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/#facebook\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/#facebook\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/#facebook\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oil prices drop amid escalating U.S.-China trade war. The U.S. imposes a 104% tariff on Chinese imports, raising concerns about global oil demand. -vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":66,"featured_media":20342,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[66],"class_list":["post-20341","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-oil"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Oil prices drop amid escalating U.S.-China trade war. 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