{"id":19114,"date":"2025-03-24T09:56:47","date_gmt":"2025-03-24T09:56:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=19114"},"modified":"2025-03-24T09:56:47","modified_gmt":"2025-03-24T09:56:47","slug":"euro-holds-gains-despite-eurozone-pmi-miss","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/analysis\/euro-holds-gains-despite-eurozone-pmi-miss\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro Holds Gains Despite Eurozone PMI Miss"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"559\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/image_fx_-76-1024x559.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-16631\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Points:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Eurozone composite PMI rose to 50.4 in March, below the 50.7 forecast.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>EUR\/USD trades at 1.0833 after hitting a session high of 1.08583.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>euro held on to modest gains<\/strong> on Monday despite data showing <strong>eurozone business activity grew less than expected<\/strong> in March. The <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fxstreet.com\/economic-calendar\">composite purchasing managers\u2019 index (PMI)<\/a><\/strong> climbed from <strong>50.2 to 50.4<\/strong>, missing the <strong>50.7 forecast<\/strong> from a Wall Street Journal survey. A reading above 50 still signals growth, but the softer figure sparked some hesitation in the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ahead of the data, <strong>EUR\/USD traded as high as 1.08583<\/strong>, but eased back to <strong>1.0833<\/strong> shortly after the release. The <strong>pair remains up 0.2% on the session<\/strong>, supported in part by a weaker dollar and broader eurozone sentiment. The report highlighted that <strong>both input costs and output prices rose at slower rates<\/strong>, hinting at softening inflationary pressure, which may lower expectations of an aggressive response from the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/PNFi2U1aZS\">European Central Bank (ECB)<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde spelled out the cost of a trade war with the United States for the euro zone&#39;s economy for the first time on Thursday and welcomed Germany&#39;s latest spending plans. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/sMlQkxcHiC\">https:\/\/t.co\/sMlQkxcHiC<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/4BwBcIrFtx\">pic.twitter.com\/4BwBcIrFtx<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1902831327260422385?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 20, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The PMI data also exposed a <strong>mixed performance across the eurozone<\/strong>. <strong>France&#8217;s services and manufacturing output exceeded expectations<\/strong>, while <strong>Germany\u2014the bloc\u2019s largest economy\u2014<\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/europe\/german-growth-edges-up-march-manufacturing-production-rises-pmi-shows-2025-03-24\/\">delivered another disappointing PMI <\/a><\/strong>reading. This divergence adds pressure on the ECB to tread carefully as it evaluates incoming economic signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The EUR\/USD pair posted a moderate recovery after dipping to a session low of <strong>1.07968<\/strong>, climbing as high as <strong>1.08612<\/strong> before retracing slightly. The price action shows a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with a temporary bounce off the lows but no strong follow-through. The 15-minute chart reflects a gradual uptrend followed by consolidation, with price action currently sitting near the <strong>1.08330<\/strong> mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/27\/2026\/03\/image-26-1024x439.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-19115\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Picture: EUR\/USD recovers from session lows but struggles to hold above 1.08330, as seen on the <\/em><em><a href=\"https:\/\/vtmarketsapp.onelink.me\/CD7D\/240525WA\">VT Markets app<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>MACD indicator<\/strong> reveals a fading bullish momentum, as histogram bars shrink and the MACD line begins to converge with the signal line. Meanwhile, short-term moving averages (MA 5,10,30) are attempting to flatten out, indicating potential sideways action ahead unless a breakout occurs. Immediate resistance remains at <strong>1.08612<\/strong>, while <strong>support lies near 1.08100<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">Range-Bound Movement Ahead of Data<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders are likely to maintain a cautious stance heading into a week with limited eurozone data releases. In the absence of fresh surprises, the market may take its cues from <strong>U.S. data<\/strong>, particularly as <strong>the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/some-european-officials-weigh-if-they-can-rely-fed-dollars-under-trump-2025-03-22\/\">Federal Reserve continues to emphasise patience on rate cuts<\/a><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With ECB officials staying neutral and data delivering mixed signals, EUR\/USD may drift sideways in the short term. A break below <strong>1.0795<\/strong> could shift the focus back to the <strong>1.0750 level<\/strong>, while a sustained move above <strong>1.0860<\/strong> would indicate renewed bullish interest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For now, the pair trades with <strong>mild upside bias<\/strong>, but remains vulnerable to fresh data and broader risk sentiment shifts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a><\/strong><strong> and <\/strong><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a><\/strong><strong> now.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/USD pares gains after eurozone PMI misses estimates; technicals show consolidation near 1.0830. Traders eye 1.0860 test. &#8211; vtmarkets.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":64,"featured_media":16631,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[56,10],"class_list":["post-19114","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis","tag-euro","tag-forex"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19114","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/64"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19114"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19114\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16631"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19114"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19114"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/en-asia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19114"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}