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Micron shares jump after blowout third-quarter results as AI demand and tight supply lift outlook

by VT Markets
/
Jun 25, 2026

Micron Technology shares rose about 15% in post-market trading after the company exceeded Wall Street expectations for its fiscal third quarter ended in May. The stock had closed down 1.3% at $1,037.86 in the regular session, before moving above $1,217 after hours. Adjusted EPS came in at $25.11, beating consensus by $4.83, while revenue of $41.46bn was $6.21bn ahead of forecasts. Revenue also surged 346% year on year as tight supply and AI data-centre demand lifted memory pricing.

Operating cash flow totalled $25.39bn, up from $11.9bn in fiscal Q2 and $4.61bn a year earlier. Pricing strength in DRAM and HBM lifted gross margin to 84.6% in Q3, and SSD revenue doubled quarter on quarter to $5bn. The company said it is running at a $100bn-a-year AI run-rate, and for fiscal Q4 ending in August it guided to around $50bn of revenue, adjusted EPS of $31.00 and gross margin of 86%.

Market Sentiment And Options Implications

Given the massive earnings beat and the 15% after-hours surge, we anticipate a significant gap up in Micron’s stock tomorrow, likely trading well above $1,200. This blowout report confirms the extreme pricing power in the memory sector driven by the ongoing AI buildout. The immediate sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish for the entire semiconductor space.

Implied volatility on Micron options will likely collapse after the market opens, creating what is known as “IV crush.” Therefore, we see buying puts or calls outright as an expensive and potentially inefficient strategy right now. Selling premium, such as shorting out-of-the-money puts on the stock, may offer a better risk-reward profile for those who believe the new price level will hold.

Sector Trends, Strategy, And Outlook

This strength is not isolated to just Micron, as the broader SOX semiconductor index is already up 35% year-to-date in 2026. Recent data from the Semiconductor Industry Association confirmed a 45% year-over-year increase in memory chip orders for May, validating the intense demand Micron is reporting. We see this as a sector-wide tailwind, not a company-specific event.

Micron’s forecast for tight supply lasting beyond calendar 2027 suggests this isn’t a short-term pop. We have seen similar patterns in other AI hardware suppliers, where strong upward trends continue for many quarters following an initial explosive earnings report. This indicates that any weakness in the coming weeks should be viewed as a technical pullback rather than a change in the fundamental story.

For the coming weeks, we are looking at selling put credit spreads with strike prices below the new expected trading range, perhaps around the $1,100 to $1,150 levels. This strategy allows us to collect premium while benefiting from both time decay and the anticipated drop in volatility. It defines our risk while maintaining a bullish-to-neutral stance on the stock’s direction after the initial gap up.

We must remain cautious of potential profit-taking in the days following such a dramatic price increase. However, the company’s incredibly strong guidance for the August quarter suggests any dips will likely be viewed by the market as buying opportunities. The high probability of continued upward momentum supports strategies that profit from a stable or rising stock price.

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