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Japan’s industrial output for the year is reported at 1.6%, slightly higher than 1.5%

by VT Markets
/
Dec 12, 2025

Japan’s industrial production increased by 1.6% in October, slightly above the expected 1.5%.

The EUR/USD pair retracts from a 10-week high, settling near 1.1735 amid a small recovery in the US Dollar. Potential US Federal Reserve rate cuts next year may limit further declines for the pair. Germany is set to release its final Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices figures.

Uk Economic Data Release

The UK will announce its monthly GDP and Industrial Production figures on Thursday at 07:00 GMT, detailing the country’s economic performance for October.

Gold decreases during the Asian session, losing some of the previous day’s gains and breaking its three-day upward trend. A positive tone in the equity markets reduces the demand for gold, traditionally a safe-haven asset.

Bitcoin and Ethereum are approaching key resistance levels, with potential for a fresh rally upon successful breakout. Ripple is stabilising around an important support zone, suggesting a rebound if the current trend continues.

The Federal Reserve implemented a 25 basis points rate cut, setting the target range to 3.50–3.75%. Market reactions may focus as much on the Fed’s commentary as on the rate cut itself.

Solana’s Market Challenges

Solana’s price remains below $130, facing resistance from its falling wedge pattern. The market experiences downside momentum due to the Fed’s hawkish stance.

We have just seen the Federal Reserve cut rates to the 3.50-3.75% range, but the tone of the announcement was firm, suggesting they are not promising more cuts soon. This has caused the US Dollar to bounce slightly, a move that we have not seen much of in 2025. For derivative traders, this is a signal to be wary of overly bearish dollar positions, as the path to lower rates may be slower than anticipated.

The EUR/USD pair is retreating from its 10-week high around 1.1735, a level that reflects the long period of Fed easing we’ve seen since rates peaked above 5% back in 2023. This pullback is a direct result of the Fed’s cautious language, creating uncertainty. We could use short-term options to hedge against a further dip in the pair while still holding a longer-term bullish view.

Looking at the broader economy, Japan’s industrial production is up only 1.6%, and we are awaiting similar figures from the United Kingdom. This pattern of sluggish global growth is what has pushed central banks to cut rates throughout 2025. Any negative surprise from the UK data could increase demand for safe-haven assets and put more pressure on riskier currencies.

Gold is slipping slightly from its recent high near $4,286 an ounce, a price that seemed impossible just two years ago when it was trading closer to $2,000. This small decline is happening because markets are feeling a bit more optimistic, but the underlying inflation that drove gold this high remains a concern. We can view this dip as an opportunity to buy call options at a lower premium, betting that the long-term trend remains upward.

In the crypto space, Bitcoin and Ethereum are testing major resistance points that have capped rallies for months. A breakout above these levels could trigger a significant rally, making strategies like a long straddle attractive to capture that potential volatility. Meanwhile, Ripple is holding at a key support level, offering a chance for bullish positions if we see buying interest return.

Solana is currently underperforming the market, trading below $130 after being rejected from a key technical level. The Fed’s hesitant message has hit higher-risk assets like SOL the hardest, showing it is still very sensitive to central bank policy. This suggests we should be cautious with new long positions until the broader market shows more conviction.

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