A substantial reversal for XAG/USD emerges as silver recovers from a sharp decline to 64.00

by VT Markets
/
Feb 10, 2026

Spot Silver prices have increased by over 6% on Monday, breaking past $80.00. This rise follows a sharp drop from a peak of 121.67 in January to a support level around 64.00 in early February.

A falling wedge pattern has formed, indicating potential recovery. The 50-day Simple Moving Average provides dynamic support at 75.65, while the 200-day SMA remains at 49.13. The Relative Strength Index shows momentum is neutral between 70.00 and 85.00.

Bullish Reversal Indicators

The 4-hour chart reveals a possible bullish reversal with price moving above 78.00. The Moving Average Convergence-Divergence indicator shows strengthening momentum. Resistance is at 86.25 at the 200-period SMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Breakthrough here could lead prices toward 92.95 and beyond. Support levels lie at 75.00.

Silver is a valuable metal for both trade and industry, influencing prices. It correlates with Gold moves due to their safe-haven status. Factors such as geopolitical stability, interest rates, and USD strength also play roles. Silver’s industrial demand, particularly in electronics and solar sectors, further impacts its price, with global economic activity affecting its valuation.

Based on the sharp reversal in silver, we are seeing a significant opportunity after the market washed out weak hands. The price has rebounded strongly from the $64.00 support zone and broken the short-term downtrend, signaling that the corrective phase might be over. The current 6% daily gain is a powerful confirmation of renewed buying interest.

We should note that this price action is happening alongside a weakening US Dollar, with the Dollar Index (DXY) having recently fallen from above 106 to around 102.50. Looking back, we remember the Gold/Silver ratio was stretched above 85:1 in late 2025, but today’s move brings it closer to 64:1, a level much nearer its historical average. This suggests silver’s recent underperformance relative to gold has corrected sharply.

Investment Strategies and Market Outlook

Given the extreme volatility, using options to define risk is a sensible strategy. We could look at buying call options with strike prices just above the $86.25 resistance level to play for a continued move toward the $92.95 target. This provides exposure to the upside momentum while capping potential losses if the rally falters.

The fundamental picture for silver remains constructive, which supports this bullish technical setup. Global industrial demand for silver hit a new record in 2025, exceeding 655 million ounces, largely fueled by a sustained expansion in solar panel and electric vehicle manufacturing. This underlying demand provides a solid floor for prices that is independent of investor sentiment.

However, we must remain cautious with key US inflation and jobs data due later this week. The last CPI report in January showed a hotter-than-expected 3.5% annual inflation rate, and another strong reading could reignite fears of a more hawkish Federal Reserve. For those concerned about a failed rally, buying put options below the $75.00 support level could serve as an effective hedge against a return of bearish pressure.

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