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US CPI shock drives Treasury sell-off, lifts December 50bp hike odds and hits equities

by VT Markets /
Nov 11, 2026

Strong US CPI data and hawkish Federal Reserve commentary triggered a sell-off in US Treasuries and weighed on US equities, as markets moved to price a faster path for rate rises and even a modest chance of a 50bp hike in December. The 2-year Treasury yield jumped 17.6bps, its biggest daily rise since April 2025, to 4.74%. Equities fell in response, with the S&P 500 down 0.38% as tighter financial conditions fed through to risk assets.

Technology and AI-linked stocks led the decline early on. Nvidia dropped 5.47%, pushing the Nasdaq down 0.74% and the Mag-7 lower by 0.83%, compared with the S&P 500’s 0.38% fall. Sentiment improved after the close when CoreWeave reported Q3 revenue of $3.66bn versus a $3.56bn estimate and raised full-year revenue guidance to $13.0-13.3bn from $12.9bn expected, helping support futures and pointing to a partial recovery in the index.

Fixed Income And Equity Hedging Strategies

We must immediately adjust our fixed income positions to hedge against higher borrowing costs after the two-year Treasury yield surged 17.6 basis points to 4.74%. Sharp rate moves of this magnitude historically trigger extended bond selloffs, similar to the major repricing events of April 2025. We recommend using interest rate futures and swaptions to protect portfolios against the growing probability of a 50-basis-point rate hike in December.

With rising yields dragging the S&P 500 down 0.38% and tech benchmarks down nearly 1%, we should use equity options to defend against valuation pressure. Historically, when short-term yields jump over 15 basis points in a single session, broader stock indexes average a 2% to 4% drawdown over the following three weeks. We can implement protective put spreads or equity collars on major indexes to cushion against further rate-driven market pullbacks.

Opportunities For Dispersion And Derivative Trades

The steep 5.47% drop in semiconductor leaders alongside a strong $3.66 billion revenue report from AI infrastructure firms creates a clear dispersion trading opportunity. We can structure long-short derivative strategies by purchasing call options on resilient cloud infrastructure names while shorting overextended tech basket futures. This allows us to capture upside in fundamental earnings growth while hedging against broad technology sector weakness.

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