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Philippine Gold Prices Slip as Weaker Dollar and Central Bank Buying Shape Outlook

by VT Markets
/
Jun 29, 2026

Gold prices in the Philippines fell on Monday, based on FXStreet data. The metal was priced at PHP 7,977.31 per gram, down from PHP 8,049.30 on Friday, while the per-tola quote eased to PHP 93,048.79 from PHP 93,885.41. Benchmarks for other units put gold at PHP 79,774.98 for 10 grams and PHP 248,118.00 per troy ounce.

FXStreet derives local prices by converting international gold rates through the USD/PHP exchange rate and applying local measurement units, with daily updates using market levels at publication time; the figures are indicative and local quotes may differ. In the broader market context, central banks have been the largest holders, adding 1,136 tonnes of gold worth around $70 billion in 2022, according to the World Gold Council. Gold is commonly described as inversely correlated with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, and tends to be sensitive to interest-rate expectations as well as moves in XAU/USD.

Short-Term Gold Price Movements And Macro Drivers

We are seeing a slight dip in gold prices, as noted in the Philippines where the price per gram recently fell. This minor pullback comes after a period of strength. We view this not as a trend reversal, but as a potential buying opportunity in the coming weeks.

The primary driver for our outlook is the weakening US Dollar, with the DXY index falling from over 105 to near 103.5 this past month. This is largely due to recent US inflation data for May 2026 coming in at 2.9%, fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve may be poised to cut interest rates before the end of the year. Historically, a weaker dollar and lower interest rates create a very favorable environment for gold.

Central Bank Demand And Strategic Positioning

We also see persistent underlying demand from institutional players. The World Gold Council’s data shows central banks continued their aggressive buying into 2026, adding another 290 tonnes in the first quarter, the strongest start to a year on record. This consistent demand from emerging market banks provides a solid price floor.

Given this context, derivative traders should consider positioning for a potential rise in gold prices. Buying call options on gold futures (GC) or major gold ETFs for the coming months offers a way to capitalize on upward movement with managed risk. The current price softness makes entry points for these bullish bets more attractive.

For a more conservative approach, we are looking at selling out-of-the-money put spreads. This strategy allows us to collect premium while expressing the view that gold is unlikely to fall significantly further from these levels. It is an effective way to generate income if gold trades sideways or moves higher as we anticipate.

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