Consolidating near historic peaks, silver shows resilience amid improved risk sentiment and reduced tensions

by VT Markets
/
Jan 23, 2026

Silver is consolidating near record highs at around $93.90 after recent US-EU tensions eased, which tempered safe-haven flows. President Trump’s decision not to impose tariffs on European countries provided relief to markets, while tight supply and industrial demand continue to support silver prices.

Despite easing trade fears, silver’s dual role as an investment and industrial metal keeps its fundamentals strong. Silver has witnessed a 32% increase this month, indicating an ongoing uptrend. Technically, silver is testing the 21-period SMA, with stronger support at the 50-period SMA, near $91.20.

A drop below the $90.00 level could invite selling, exposing downside targets of $85.00-$86.00 or even $80.00. Alternatively, a break above $95.00 may lead to the psychological $100.00 target. The RSI is easing from overbought territory, suggesting slowing momentum and a potential consolidation phase.

Silver serves as a store of value, with investment influenced by geopolitical factors, interest rates, and USD strength. Industrial and consumer demands from the US, China, and India further impact silver prices. Silver tends to follow gold’s movements, with the gold/silver ratio providing insight into relative valuations between the two metals.

We have just seen silver rally hard after the de-escalation of US-EU trade tensions earlier this month. The market is now taking a breath, consolidating near the all-time high of $95.89. This pause provides a crucial window for us to position for the next major move.

Momentum has clearly cooled, with indicators like the RSI backing away from overbought levels, suggesting the explosive upward drive is stalling for now. This points to a period of consolidation where the market decides its next direction. For derivative traders, this indecision creates opportunities to structure trades for either a breakout or a breakdown.

The bullish case remains strong, powered by industrial demand which we saw consume a record 654 million ounces in 2025. Recent industry reports project that the expansion of 5G networks and the global push for solar energy will continue to tighten physical supply throughout this year. This fundamental tightness suggests any dip could be a buying opportunity for the longer term.

Traders expecting a push toward the $100 psychological level could consider buying call options. To lower the upfront cost and define risk, a bull call spread, such as buying a $96 call and selling a $100 call, would be a prudent way to play the breakout. This strategy profits from a steady move higher while capping potential losses if the price reverses.

However, we must also consider the headwind from a resilient US Dollar, which has been strengthening since the Federal Reserve’s hawkish statements last quarter. As a non-yielding asset, silver’s appeal diminishes if interest rates are expected to stay elevated. This could keep prices range-bound between the support at $90 and resistance near $95 for the coming weeks.

If we believe the rally is overextended, buying put options with a strike below the $90 support level offers a clear way to profit from a potential downturn. Alternatively, for those expecting sideways action, selling out-of-the-money call options above $98 could be an effective strategy to collect premium. This approach benefits from time decay if silver fails to break its recent highs.

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