Monthly Archives: February 2026
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch says oil prices rise amid US–Iran tensions and OPEC+ supply expectations shift
Written on February 18, 2026 at 4:42 am, by
Oil prices rise on US-Iran tensions; OPEC+ may boost output, but constraints and weaker Russian exports loom.
Danske’s researchers say Sweden’s unemployment fell to 8.0%, lowering rate-cut odds and implying revisions
Written on February 18, 2026 at 4:12 am, by
Sweden unemployment rate falls to 8.0%, beating forecasts, lowering chance of near-term Riksbank rate cuts.
A recurring expansion-reset pattern sees SPY and QQQ testing highs, awaiting breakout acceptance or pullback rotation
Written on February 18, 2026 at 4:11 am, by
SPY and QQQ near measured-move highs again; weekly structure suggests decision zone: accept breakout or reject with pullback.
After RBA minutes, AUD/USD slips to about 0.7050; the AUD weakens while the USD stays cautious pre-Fed minutes
Written on February 18, 2026 at 3:41 am, by
AUD/USD hovered near 0.7050, down 0.40%, as RBA minutes offered no rate path; markets await key data.
TD Securities expects December PCE inflation strengthening, with core and headline rising 0.25% and 0.27% monthly, nearing 3% annually
Written on February 18, 2026 at 3:12 am, by
TD Securities forecasts firmer December PCE inflation, with tariffs lifting prices and disinflation expected late 2026.
January saw Canada’s headline CPI rise 2.3% year-on-year, under forecasts, while monthly prices remained unchanged
Written on February 18, 2026 at 3:12 am, by
Canada’s January CPI eased to 2.3% y/y; core 2.6%. Gasoline, GST break effects; USD/CAD ~1.3650.
Pesole says RBNZ’s November 2025 forecasts underplayed inflation, as CPI data exceeded them, delaying rate cuts
Written on February 18, 2026 at 2:42 am, by
ING says RBNZ inflation forecasts were too low; higher CPI may delay cuts and bring earlier rates hikes.
Canada’s core monthly CPI held steady at 0.2% in January, showing no change from before
Written on February 18, 2026 at 2:41 am, by
Canada’s core CPI climbed 0.2% in January, matching December, signaling steady monthly price increases.
In January, Canada’s monthly CPI stayed at 0%, missing forecasts that anticipated a 0.1% rise
Written on February 18, 2026 at 2:11 am, by
Canada’s January CPI was flat month-over-month at 0%, undershooting the 0.1% forecast by 0.1 points.
In January, Canada’s annual CPI registered 2.3%, undershooting forecasts of 2.4% by economists
Written on February 18, 2026 at 2:11 am, by
Canada’s CPI rose 2.3% in January, below the 2.4% forecast, signaling slightly lower-than-expected inflation.
