Monthly Archives: February 2026
Despite robust ADP employment figures, the US Dollar reduces earlier gains as private hiring rises to 10.3K

Written on February 18, 2026 at 10:11 am, by
US and Canada data moved major FX pairs; dollar firm, gold below $5,000 ahead of key events.
Gold drops over 3% as improving US-Iran negotiations lift the dollar, pushing XAU/USD to $4,869

Written on February 18, 2026 at 9:42 am, by
Gold slid over 3% as dollar, yields rose on US–Iran talk progress; Fed-cut expectations eased.
BNY’s John Velis expects three Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, outpacing current market pricing by nearly one

Written on February 18, 2026 at 9:41 am, by
BNY’s Velis expects three Fed rate cuts despite markets pricing two; narrow job gains, easing inflation.
Barr says US data suggests stabilising jobs, while warning AI may cause short-term labour market disruptions

Written on February 18, 2026 at 9:12 am, by
Fed’s Barr sees stabilising jobs, cooling inflation ahead, rates steady; AI boosts productivity but may disrupt workers.
The S&P 500 stays range-bound; holding 6780 supports an April peak, reflecting Elliott Wave-driven sentiment cycles

Written on February 18, 2026 at 9:11 am, by
Elliott Wave analysis tracks S&P 500 ending diagonal since November low, with key support 6780 and 6521.
USD/JPY wavers near 153.40 as yen strengthens on BoJ hike bets, dollar steadies on Fed view

Written on February 18, 2026 at 8:42 am, by
USD/JPY steadied near 153.40 as BOJ hike hopes supported yen; US data boosted dollar slightly.
At the US 52-week bill auction, the yield slipped to 3.345% from 3.39% previously

Written on February 18, 2026 at 8:41 am, by
U.S. 52-week Treasury bill auction yield fell to 3.345%, down 0.045 points from prior 3.39%.
WTI crude slips to about $62.50, down 1.80%, constrained by US-Iran talks and OPEC+ rumours
Written on February 18, 2026 at 8:12 am, by
WTI slid to $62.50 as markets eyed US-Iran talks and potential OPEC+ output increases.
Post-holiday, investors sold tech; AI disruption fears and looming FOMC minutes pushed the Dow down 120 points

Written on February 18, 2026 at 8:11 am, by
U.S. stocks slid as yields fell; tech lagged, Danaher-Masimo deal surged, and key Fed data awaited.
RBC’s Nathan Janzen says January’s softer Canadian CPI gives the BoC greater latitude to ease

Written on February 18, 2026 at 7:42 am, by
Canada’s January CPI slowed: headline 2.3%, tax-adjusted 2.1%; core measures eased, giving BoC more cut room.