Monthly Archives: February 2026
London formed balanced TPO value near POC; New York’s retest decides upward migration or rotation lower structure

Written on February 12, 2026 at 2:33 am, by
ES futures stayed balanced in London, rotating around ~6,975 POC between 6,979.50/6,958 gates; NY open pivotal.
TD Securities expects the Bank of Canada deliberations summary to provide more nuanced guidance than January’s cautionary tone

Written on February 12, 2026 at 2:32 am, by
TD Securities expects Bank of Canada minutes to add nuance, citing uneven data, softer core inflation, policy limits.
WTI trades near $65.15, rising 1.53%, lifted by Middle East supply worries despite US stockpile constraints
Written on February 12, 2026 at 2:03 am, by
WTI rebounds to $65.15 amid Middle East supply fears, offset by massive US inventory build concerns.
Rabobank’s Jane Foley says Starmer-led political uncertainty restrains Sterling; EUR/GBP stays near 0.8700; GBP weakest G10 five-day view

Written on February 12, 2026 at 2:02 am, by
Sterling weakened by Starmer uncertainty; Rabobank sees EUR/GBP 0.86–0.87 near-term, rising to 0.89.
US average hourly earnings grew 3.7% year-on-year, exceeding the expected 3.6% reading in January

Written on February 12, 2026 at 1:32 am, by
US average hourly earnings rose 3.7% in January, beating expectations by 0.1 percentage points, signalling stronger wage growth.
In January, America’s jobless rate came in at 4.3%, slightly under the expected 4.4% estimate

Written on February 12, 2026 at 1:32 am, by
U.S. unemployment held at 4.3% in January, coming in slightly below economists’ 4.4% forecast.
In January, US Nonfarm Payrolls totalled 130K, surpassing forecasts of 70K and boosting job growth

Written on February 12, 2026 at 1:03 am, by
US nonfarm payrolls increased 130,000 in January, beating forecasts of 70,000 and topping expectations.
Canadian building permits rose 6.8% month-on-month, exceeding forecasts of 5% during December
Written on February 12, 2026 at 1:02 am, by
Canada’s December building permits rose 6.8% month-on-month, beating expectations of a 5% increase, signaling stronger demand.
MUFG’s Lee Hardman says the Australian Dollar rose 6.5% versus US Dollar, backed by hawkish RBA tightening

Written on February 12, 2026 at 12:32 am, by
Australian dollar up 6.5% as RBA hawkishness fuels expectations of further hikes, supporting AUD/GBP trade.
Russia’s foreign trade rose from $6.795B to $10.021B in December, reflecting stronger trade performance overall
Written on February 12, 2026 at 12:32 am, by
Russia’s foreign trade surplus climbed to $10.021bn in December from $6.795bn, rising by $3.226bn.