{"id":23534,"date":"2025-08-01T09:08:25","date_gmt":"2025-08-01T09:08:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=23534"},"modified":"2025-08-01T09:08:25","modified_gmt":"2025-08-01T09:08:25","slug":"euro-holds-firm-as-traders-reassess-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/analysis\/euro-holds-firm-as-traders-reassess-outlook\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro holds firm as traders reassess outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/11-3-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23536\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/11-3-1024x536.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/11-3-300x157.png 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/11-3-768x402.png 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/11-3-500x262.png 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/11-3-400x209.png 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/11-3-350x183.png 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/11-3-200x105.png 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/11-3.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The euro is steadying as markets assess recent trade developments and shifting sentiment. With momentum uncertain, traders are watching technical signals and central bank cues. This analysis explores what\u2019s next for EUR\/USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Euro steadies after recent pressure<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The euro edged higher on Thursday, rising 0.1% to reach $1.1429. However, the common currency continues to trade below the psychologically significant $1.15 barrier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This modest recovery in EUR\/USD comes after recent downward pressure, driven by growing concerns that the current US-EU trade agreement may be skewed in favour of Washington, potentially disadvantaging the eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">As US President Donald Trump&#39;s new tariff regime clicks into gear, producers around Europe are feeling the impact, some holding back shipments, others hiking sticker prices or taking a hit to margins. Some fear they won&#39;t survive at all <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/R5sCj0XEQf\">https:\/\/t.co\/R5sCj0XEQf<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Reuters (@Reuters) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Reuters\/status\/1951157213394772335?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 1, 2025<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to our market analysts, the recent softness in the euro may be part of a natural correction after an extended period of bullish positioning.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This implies that although short-term pressure could persist, the downside may be limited as traders revisit the broader economic fundamentals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Technical analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>EUR\/USD opened around 1.14087 and dipped to a session low of 1.14002 in early trading on 31 July, before staging a minor recovery to touch 1.1437.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Since then, the currency pair has been moving within a narrow range between 1.1400 and 1.1440, showing no strong directional bias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"450\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/image-1024x450.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23535\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/image-1024x450.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/image-300x132.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/image-768x337.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/image-500x220.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/image-400x176.jpeg 400w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/image-350x154.jpeg 350w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/image-200x88.jpeg 200w, https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/17\/2025\/08\/image.jpeg 1280w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Picture: EURUSD holds above 1.1400 after bounce, but momentum lacks strength, as seen on the <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.apple.com\/au\/app\/vt-markets-online-trading\/id1372647263?mt=8\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"VT Markets app\">VT Markets app<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The moving averages (5, 10, 30) paint a mixed technical picture. While the price remains marginally above the shorter-term MAs, the flattening slopes indicate fading momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 30-period moving average has acted as dynamic resistance later in the session, effectively capping any attempts to push higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The MACD indicator also signals indecision, hovering near the zero line with minimal divergence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Although the histogram has turned slightly positive, both the MACD and signal lines are flat and tightly aligned, suggesting a lack of conviction among traders and low volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Support is established around the 1.1400 level, a key psychological and technical floor. Resistance lies near 1.1440 and 1.1460. A clear break above this zone could pave the way for a test of the $1.1500 level, although this would likely depend on fresh macroeconomic catalysts or shifts in US dollar sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\"><strong>Cautious forecast<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In the short term, EUR\/USD is likely to remain range-bound between 1.1400 and 1.1450, unless driven by unexpected economic data or policy surprises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Low volatility and uncertain momentum suggest that traders are staying cautious and awaiting clearer signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A break below 1.1400 could open the door to 1.1350, particularly if US data beats expectations or risk sentiment weakens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the upside, resistance around 1.1440\u20131.1460 remains intact. A sustained move higher would need to overcome this zone to target the key 1.1500 level \u2013 though this would likely require softer USD data, dovish Fed signals, or stronger eurozone figures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Looking ahead, the medium-term outlook depends on how markets interpret the US-EU trade deal and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/europe\/us-china-trade-war-could-push-ecb-continue-easing-mike-dolan-2025-07-31\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\" title=\"future guidance from the ECB\">future guidance from the ECB<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As policymakers weigh inflation against weak growth, sudden shifts in expectations could trigger volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For now, traders may remain on the sidelines, watching macro trends and central bank commentary for direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/trade-now\/?utm_campaign=account_c&amp;utm_source=dma&amp;utm_medium=website\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"here\">here<\/a> to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The euro is steadying as markets assess recent trade developments and shifting sentiment. With momentum uncertain, traders are watching technical signals and central bank cues. This analysis explores what\u2019s next for EUR\/USD. Euro steadies after recent pressure The euro edged higher on Thursday, rising 0.1% to reach $1.1429. However, the common currency continues to trade <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/analysis\/euro-holds-firm-as-traders-reassess-outlook\/\" class=\"read-more\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":102,"featured_media":23536,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23534","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23534","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/102"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23534"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23534\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23536"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23534"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23534"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/de-eu\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23534"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}