{"id":53635,"date":"2026-09-01T05:25:27","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T05:25:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e5%9c%a81-1620%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%8c%e6%b2%83%e4%bb%80%e8%bd%ac%e5%90%91%e9%b9%b0%e6%b4%be%ef%bc%8c%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83%e5%8c%ba%e9%80%9a\/"},"modified":"2026-09-01T05:25:27","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T05:25:27","slug":"%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e5%9c%a81-1620%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%8c%e6%b2%83%e4%bb%80%e8%bd%ac%e5%90%91%e9%b9%b0%e6%b4%be%ef%bc%8c%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83%e5%8c%ba%e9%80%9a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e5%9c%a81-1620%e9%99%84%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%8c%e6%b2%83%e4%bb%80%e8%bd%ac%e5%90%91%e9%b9%b0%e6%b4%be%ef%bc%8c%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83%e5%8c%ba%e9%80%9a\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u7ef4\u6301\u57281.1620\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u6c83\u4ec0\u8f6c\u5411\u9e70\u6d3e\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u6210\u5e02\u573a\u7126\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5468\u4e8c\u4e9a\u6d32\u65e9\u76d8\uff0cEUR\/USD \u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728 1.1620\u20131.1622 \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u51ef\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u4ec0\uff08Kevin Warsh\uff09\u4e8e\u6770\u514b\u900a\u970d\u5c14\u53d1\u8868\u504f\u9e70\u8bb2\u8bdd\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u5173\u6ce8\u5c06\u4e8e\u5468\u4e8c\u7a0d\u665a\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6b27\u5143\u533a 8 \u6708 HICP\uff08\u534f\u8c03\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff09\u521d\u503c\u6570\u636e\u3002\u5728\u5fb7\u56fd\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff08Destatis\uff09\u516c\u5e03 8 \u6708 CPI \u540c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u6da8 2.9%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e 7 \u6708\u7684 2.8%\uff1b\u73af\u6bd4\u6da8\u5e45\u5219\u4ece 0.8% \u653e\u7f13\u81f3 0.2%\uff0c\u5e76\u4f4e\u4e8e 0.3% \u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u4e0a\u8c03\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u8ba1\u5176\u5c06\u5728 9 \u6708 10 \u65e5\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u518d\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u8ba1\u660e\u5e74\u4ecd\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6c83\u4ec0\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u4e0d\u80fd\u786e\u4fe1\u6f5c\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u6b63\u5728\u56de\u843d\u81f3 2% \u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u201c\u8fd8\u6709\u5de5\u4f5c\u8981\u505a\u201d\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9 9 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5de9\u56fa\u3002\u53e6\u636e\u4e30\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\uff08Scotiabank\uff09\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5176\u8bb2\u8bdd\u65e8\u5728\u5728 7 \u6708 FOMC \u4f1a\u540e\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5b58\u6709\u6a21\u7cca\u6027\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u91cd\u7f6e\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u77e5\u3002\u6280\u672f\u9762\u4e0a\uff0c\u6c47\u4ef7\u4f4d\u4e8e 20 \u671f\u5e03\u6797\u5e26\u4e2d\u8f68 1.1600 \u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u5e76\u9ad8\u4e8e 100 \u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\uff08SMA\uff09\u9644\u8fd1\u7684 1.1570\uff1bRSI\uff0814\uff09\u7ea6\u4e3a 57\u3002\u4e0a\u65b9\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u5728 1.1713\uff1b\u4e0b\u65b9\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\u5305\u62ec 1.1600\u3001\u7ea6 1.1570 \u4ee5\u53ca 1.1488\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Technical Levels and Price Volatility<\/h3>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u6d88\u5316\u4eca\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6b27\u5143\u533a HICP \u6570\u636e\uff0c\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u5e94\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8 EUR\/USD \u5728 1.1600 \u4e00\u7ebf\u7684\u5373\u65f6\u652f\u6491\u5e95\u90e8\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6c47\u4ef7\u5728 1.1620 \u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u8be5\u6c34\u5e73\uff1b\u4e00\u65e6\u8dcc\u7834 100 \u65e5\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf 1.1570\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5316\u6b62\u635f\u5356\u76d8\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c9 \u6708\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6708\u4efd\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u6708\u5ea6\u7edd\u5bf9\u6ce2\u52a8\u7ea6\u4e3a 1.8%\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Trading Strategies Around Policy Risk Events<\/h3>\n<p>\u9274\u4e8e\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u5728 9 \u6708 10 \u65e5\u52a0\u606f\u4e14\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u51ef\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u4ec0\u91ca\u653e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\u90e8\u7f72\u505a\u591a\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u4e70\u5165 9 \u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u5230\u671f\u7684\u5e73\u503c\uff08near-the-money\uff09\u8de8\u5f0f\u671f\u6743\uff08straddle\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u4e0d\u62bc\u6ce8\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u6355\u6349\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u671f\u6743\u5e02\u573a\u5b9a\u4ef7\u663e\u793a\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u5f00\u59cb\u7f13\u6b65\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5728\u5173\u952e\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u7b56\u524d\u91c7\u7528\u4e70\u5165\u671f\u6743\u8d39\uff08premium-buying\uff09\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82e5\u4eca\u65e5\u6b27\u5143\u533a HICP \u521d\u503c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0e\u5fb7\u56fd 2.9% \u7684\u540c\u6bd4\u6da8\u5e45\u76f8\u547c\u5e94\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u6c47\u4ef7\u6709\u671b\u4e0a\u63a2\u5e03\u6797\u5e26\u4e0a\u8f68 1.1713\u3002\u504f\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7\u725b\u5e02\u770b\u6da8\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08bull call spread\uff09\u4ee5\u8be5\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u4e3a\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u9650\u5236\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u53cd\u4e4b\uff0c\u82e5\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b88\u4f4f 1.1570 \u652f\u6491\u533a\u57df\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u4e70\u5165\u4fdd\u62a4\u6027\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08protective puts\uff09\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u6307\u5411\u5e03\u6797\u5e26\u4e0b\u8f68\u9644\u8fd1\u7684 1.1488\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u70b9\u51fb<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/trade-now\/\"\">\u6b64\u5904<\/a>\u5f00\u8bbe\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5b9e\u8d26\u6237\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6b27\u5143\u533aHICP\u521d\u503c\u6210\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u77ed\u7ebf\u80dc\u8d1f\u624b\uff1a\u6c83\u4ec0\u9e70\u6d3e\u5de9\u56fa9\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\u3002\u6c47\u4ef7\u5b881.1600\u3001\u8b66\u60d5\u5931\u5b881.1570\u89e6\u53d1\u6b62\u635f\uff1b\u5efa\u8bae\u5e03\u5c40\u505a\u591a\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u671f\u6743\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50003,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53635","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.1.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" 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