{"id":51233,"date":"2026-07-17T18:29:37","date_gmt":"2026-07-17T18:29:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%af%81%e5%88%b8%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c7%e6%9c%88%e5%b0%86%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e5%9c%a82-25%e4%b8%8d%e5%8f%98%ef%bc%8c%e5%b9%b6\/"},"modified":"2026-07-17T18:29:37","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T18:29:37","slug":"%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%af%81%e5%88%b8%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c7%e6%9c%88%e5%b0%86%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e5%9c%a82-25%e4%b8%8d%e5%8f%98%ef%bc%8c%e5%b9%b6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%af%81%e5%88%b8%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c7%e6%9c%88%e5%b0%86%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e5%9c%a82-25%e4%b8%8d%e5%8f%98%ef%bc%8c%e5%b9%b6\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9053\u660e\u8bc1\u5238\u9884\u8ba1\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c7\u6708\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u57282.25%\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u5e76\u4fdd\u75599\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u9009\u9879"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TD Securities \u9884\u8ba1\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728 7 \u6708\u5c06\u628a\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 2.25% \u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u6b64\u524d 6 \u6708\u52a0\u606f 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff1b\u5e76\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u201c\u6570\u636e\u4f9d\u8d56\u3001\u9010\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u51b3\u7b56\uff08meeting-by-meeting\uff09\u201d\u7684\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u907f\u514d\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f84\u4f5c\u51fa\u9884\u5148\u627f\u8bfa\u3002\u8be5\u673a\u6784\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u8d70\u8f6f\u3001\u901a\u80c0\u8f83\u9884\u6d4b\u8def\u5f84\u66f4\u5feb\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6b64\u524d\u6307\u5f15\u4f7f 9 \u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u4ecd\u201c\u5b58\u5728\u52a0\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\uff08live\uff09\u201d\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5176\u5224\u65ad\u672c\u5468\u51b3\u8bae\u5bf9 EUR\/USD \u7684\u77ed\u671f\u5f71\u54cd\u6709\u9650\u3002\u9884\u8ba1\u884c\u957f\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u5c06\u91cd\u7533\u5ba1\u614e\u3001\u514b\u5236\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6c9f\u901a\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u5c06\u5f53\u524d\u5b8f\u89c2\u6761\u4ef6\u5b9a\u4f4d\u4e3a\u4ecb\u4e8e\u201c\u57fa\u51c6\u60c5\u666f\uff08Base\uff09\u201d\u4e0e\u201c\u66f4\u6e29\u548c\u60c5\u666f\uff08Milder\uff09\u201d\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u540e\u7eed\u662f\u5426\u8f6c\u5411\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5728 TD Securities \u8d4b\u4e88 75% \u6982\u7387\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\u60c5\u666f\u4e2d\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5728 7 \u6708\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52a8\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u672a\u6765\u653f\u7b56\u53cd\u5e94\u4e0e\u4e2d\u4e1c\u51b2\u7a81\u518d\u8d77\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u4e0e\u70c8\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u51b2\u51fb\u76f8\u6302\u94a9\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u4ea6\u63d0\u53ca\u4e0a\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u8ba8\u8bba\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u5904\u4e8e\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3001\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u4e0a\u884c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u5458\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u671f\u672b\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u9ad8\u4e8e\u76ee\u6807\u3002TD Securities \u4ecd\u4fdd\u7559 9 \u6708\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u79f0\u8fd9\u5c06\u4f7f\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5176\u5bf9\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387 2.25% \u7684\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u4e14\u63a5\u8fd1\u5176\u6240\u754c\u5b9a\u7684 2.00%\u20142.50% \u4e2d\u6027\u533a\u95f4\u4e0a\u6cbf\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>Market Reaction To July ECB Pause<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c 7 \u6708\u5c06\u628a\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 2.25% \u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u6b64\u524d 6 \u6708\u4e0a\u8c03 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672c\u6b21\u6682\u505c\u884c\u52a8\u5df2\u6709\u5145\u5206\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u5e94\u9884\u8ba1\u5728\u51b3\u8bae\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0cEUR\/USD \u5c06\u51fa\u73b0\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u9650\u7684\u5373\u65f6\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u79cd\u8c28\u614e\u7684\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52a8\uff1a\u6b27\u5143\u533a GDP \u589e\u901f\u4ecd\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u4ec5\u4e3a 0.3%\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6574\u4f53\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u5df2\u5f00\u59cb\u7f13\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5728 7 \u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u5927\u6982\u7387\u504f\u201c\u9759\u201d\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u9650 EUR\/USD \u671f\u6743\u7684\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u56de\u843d\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u8003\u8651\u5356\u51fa\u77ed\u671f\u9650\u8de8\u5f0f\u7ec4\u5408\uff08straddles\uff09\u6216\u5356\u51fa\u770b\u6da8\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08call spreads\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u628a\u63e1\u671f\u6743\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6ea2\u4ef7\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0b\u884c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u7ecf\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5f53\u592e\u884c\u91c7\u53d6\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u201c\u9010\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u51b3\u7b56\u201d\u4e14\u4e0d\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u52a8\u4f5c\u4f5c\u51fa\u627f\u8bfa\u65f6\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u6c47\u7387\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u663e\u8457\u6536\u7f29\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>Positioning For September Risks And Energy Shock<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1 7 \u6708\u5927\u6982\u7387\u6ce2\u6f9c\u4e0d\u60ca\uff0c\u4f46 9 \u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u4ecd\u5177\u6709\u8f83\u5f3a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff08\u9ad8\u5ea6\u201clive\u201d\uff09\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u9700\u4e3a\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u610f\u5916\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u5229\u7387\u4e92\u6362\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u53cd\u6620\u51fa\u5bf9\u518d\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u82e5\u901a\u80c0\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u884c\u81f3 2.50% \u4e0a\u6cbf\u4ecd\u5e76\u975e\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u4e70\u5165\u66f4\u957f\u671f\u9650\u30019 \u6708\u5230\u671f\u7684\u671f\u6743\u6216\u6784\u5efa\u65e5\u5386\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08calendar spreads\uff09\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u5728\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u6743\u5229\u91d1\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\uff0c\u83b7\u53d6\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u5173\u952e\u5229\u7387\u51b3\u8bae\u7684\u655e\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u8fd8\u5fc5\u987b\u5bc6\u5207\u8ddf\u8e2a\u80fd\u6e90\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5e03\u4f26\u7279\u539f\u6cb9\u4e0e\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u671f\u8d27\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u5c06\u663e\u8457\u5f71\u54cd\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u653f\u7b56\u53d6\u5411\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u901a\u80c0\u5f98\u5f8a\u5728\u7ea6 2.5% \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u4f7f\u51b3\u7b56\u5c42\u5bf9\u4efb\u4f55\u53ef\u80fd\u7531\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u5ea6\u7d27\u5f20\u89e6\u53d1\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u51b2\u51fb\u9ad8\u5ea6\u654f\u611f\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u6784\u5efa\u5728\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u7a81\u7136\u4e0a\u884c\u65f6\u53d7\u76ca\u7684\u671f\u6743\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5bf9\u51b2\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u70b9\u51fb<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/trade-now\/\"\">\u6b64\u5904<\/a>\u5f00\u8bbe\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5b9e\u8d26\u6237\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TD Securities \u9884\u8ba1\u6b27\u592e\u884c7\u6708\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u63012.25%\uff0c\u575a\u6301\u6570\u636e\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e0e\u9010\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u51b3\u7b56\uff1b\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u3001\u901a\u80c0\u56de\u843d\u4ee4\u6b27\u5143\u77ed\u7ebf\u6ce2\u52a8\u53d7\u9650\uff0c\u4f469\u6708\u4ecd\u201clive\u201d\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u51b2\u51fb\u6216\u89e6\u53d1\u518d\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50029,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51233","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"TD Securities 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