{"id":50496,"date":"2026-07-01T17:59:27","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T17:59:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%ae%98%e5%91%98%e6%b2%83%e4%bb%80%e6%8e%92%e9%99%a4%e5%89%8d%e7%9e%bb%e6%80%a7%e6%8c%87%e5%bc%95%ef%bc%8c%e9%87%8d%e7%94%b3%e5%9d%9a%e5%ae%882%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e7%9b%ae\/"},"modified":"2026-07-01T17:59:27","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T17:59:27","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%ae%98%e5%91%98%e6%b2%83%e4%bb%80%e6%8e%92%e9%99%a4%e5%89%8d%e7%9e%bb%e6%80%a7%e6%8c%87%e5%bc%95%ef%bc%8c%e9%87%8d%e7%94%b3%e5%9d%9a%e5%ae%882%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e7%9b%ae","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e5%ae%98%e5%91%98%e6%b2%83%e4%bb%80%e6%8e%92%e9%99%a4%e5%89%8d%e7%9e%bb%e6%80%a7%e6%8c%87%e5%bc%95%ef%bc%8c%e9%87%8d%e7%94%b3%e5%9d%9a%e5%ae%882%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e7%9b%ae\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u6c83\u4ec0\u6392\u9664\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u575a\u5b882%\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6743\u8861\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u51ef\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u4ec0\u57282026\u5e74\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u8bba\u575b\uff08ECB Forum on Central Banking 2026\uff09\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e0d\u4f1a\u63d0\u4f9b\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u5e76\u79f0\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5fc5\u987b\u201c\u5f00\u8f9f\u65b0\u8def\u5f84\u201d\u4ee5\u6539\u8fdb\u51b3\u7b56\u3002\u6c83\u4ec0\u5c06\u4ef7\u683c\u7a33\u5b9a\u754c\u5b9a\u4e3a\u6838\u5fc3\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u79f0\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4ef7\u683c\u201c\u8fc7\u9ad8\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u91cd\u7533\u4e0d\u4f1a\u63a5\u53d7\u901a\u80c0\u7387\u6301\u7eed\u9ad8\u4e8e2%\u3002\u6c83\u4ec0\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u81ea\u884c\u5224\u65ad\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u662f\u5426\u5177\u6709\u901a\u80c0\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u79f0AI\u70ed\u6f6e\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u663e\u8457\u201d\u5730\u9996\u5148\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u663e\u73b0\uff0c\u4e14\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u53d1\u5c55\u65e9\u671f\u3002\u4ed6\u8fd8\u63d0\u5230\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5065\u3001\u4f9b\u7ed9\u4fa7\u57fa\u7840\u624e\u5b9e\uff0c\u5e76\u8865\u5145\u79f0\u8fc7\u53bb\u56db\u5468\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u6709\u6240\u56de\u843d\u3001\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u5df2\u8d8b\u7f13\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u4e0e\u4e0a\u8ff0\u8868\u6001\u4e00\u5e76\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u6307\u6807\u663e\u793a\uff0cFXS Speechtracker\u8bc4\u5206\u4e3a5.6\/10\uff0c\u800cFXS\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u60c5\u7eea\u6307\u6570\u57fa\u672c\u6301\u5e73\u4e8e123.64\u3002\u6c83\u4ec0\u79f0\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u4e0e\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5747\u5df2\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u793a\u4e0b\u5468\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6709\u5173\u4e8e\u5404\u5de5\u4f5c\u7ec4\u8d1f\u8d23\u4eba\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u3002\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u6f5c\u5728\u589e\u901f\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u5448\u4e0a\u884c\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u82e5\u4ee5\u8fc7\u53bb\u56db\u4e2a\u5b63\u5ea6\u4e3a\u53c2\u8003\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u4e50\u89c2\u7406\u7531\u3002\u5c31\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\u5728\u5176\u4efb\u804c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u524d\u56db\u5468\u5185\u7acb\u573a\u672a\u53d8\uff1b\u4efb\u4f55\u8c03\u6574\u90fd\u5c06\u7ecf\u8fc7\u5145\u5206\u5ba1\u8bae\u5e76\u5411\u5e02\u573a\u6c9f\u901a\uff1b\u4e14\u8d44\u4ea7\u8d1f\u503a\u8868\u653f\u7b56\u4e0e\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u5b58\u5728\u8fb9\u754c\u91cd\u53e0\uff0c\u4ed6\u5e0c\u671b\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u7ee7\u7eed\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5173\u952e\u5de5\u5177\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>\u5bf9\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u4e0e\u671f\u6743\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u9274\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u62d2\u7edd\u63d0\u4f9b\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u5173\u952e\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u524d\u540e\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u57287\u670810\u65e5\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\uff08Non-Farm Payrolls\uff09\u4e4b\u524d\u4e70\u5165\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u5177\u6709\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u5728\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u671f\u6743\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6307\u6570\uff08VIX\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u5f98\u5f8a\u572813.1\u7684\u591a\u5e74\u4f4e\u4f4d\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u671f\u6743\u6743\u5229\u91d1\u76f8\u5bf9\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff0c\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u56f4\u7ed5\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u9a71\u52a8\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8fdb\u884c\u5e03\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u6c83\u4ec0\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5373\u4fbf\u5728\u6570\u636e\u6539\u5584\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u4ecd\u5bf92%\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u786c\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u201c\u66f4\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u66f4\u4e45\uff08higher for longer\uff09\u201d\u7684\u5229\u7387\u73af\u5883\u53ef\u80fd\u5ef6\u7eed\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5173\u6ce8\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8d27\u76f8\u5173\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u4ee5\u62bc\u6ce8\u5e02\u573a\u5bf92026\u5e74\u663e\u8457\u964d\u606f\u7684\u5b9a\u4ef7\u5c06\u96be\u4ee5\u6210\u7acb\u3002\u829d\u5546\u6240\uff08CME\uff09FedWatch\u5de5\u5177\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u8bfb\u6570\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\uff1a\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf912\u6708\u524d\u964d\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u9884\u671f\u5df2\u4ece50%\u964d\u81f325%\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n\n<h3>\u884c\u4e1a\u673a\u4f1a\u4e0e\u653f\u7b56\u5c55\u671b<\/h3>\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06AI\u89c6\u4e3a\u91cd\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u91cf\u3001\u4f46\u5c1a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u5176\u901a\u80c0\u5c5e\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3a\u7279\u5b9a\u884c\u4e1a\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u72ec\u7279\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u79d1\u6280\u677f\u5757\u5c06\u5ef6\u7eed\u5f3a\u52bf\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5bf9\u79d1\u6280\u6743\u91cd\u8f83\u9ad8\u6307\u6570\u4e70\u5165\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08call options\uff09\u5c24\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u8be5\u5224\u65ad\u4ea6\u5f97\u5230\u8fd1\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u5de5\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff08BLS\uff09\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6491\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u975e\u519c\u5546\u4e1a\u90e8\u95e8\u52b3\u52a8\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u6309\u5e74\u7387\u5f3a\u52b2\u589e\u957f3.4%\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u5f52\u56e0\u4e8e\u6280\u672f\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u6548\u7387\u63d0\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n\n<p>\u5bf9\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u7a33\u5065\u4e0e\u4f9b\u7ed9\u4fa7\u624e\u5b9e\u7684\u5224\u65ad\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4e0d\u62c5\u5fe7\u8feb\u8fd1\u8870\u9000\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u7ef4\u6301\u9650\u5236\u6027\u653f\u7b56\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u8fd9\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u7acb\u5373\u914d\u7f6e\u6807\u666e500\u6307\u6570\u5e7f\u8c31\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put options\uff09\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u591a\u805a\u7126\u4e8e\u66f4\u5177\u9488\u5bf9\u6027\u3001\u4e8b\u4ef6\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5f3a\u8c03\u6570\u636e\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e14\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u504f\u4f4e\u7684\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u82e5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6570\u636e\u51fa\u73b0\u8d85\u9884\u671f\u504f\u79bb\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5f15\u53d1\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u6025\u5267\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><b>\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u70b9\u51fb<a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/trade-now\/\"\">\u6b64\u5904<\/a>\u5f00\u8bbe\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5b9e\u8d26\u6237\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6c83\u4ec0\u62d2\u7edd\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\u3001\u575a\u63012%\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u6697\u793a\u201c\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u66f4\u4e45\u201d\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u6216\u62ac\u5347\uff1bVIX\u4f4e\u4f4d\u4e0b\u671f\u6743\u4f30\u503c\u504f\u5ec9\uff0c\u5173\u6ce8\u975e\u519c\u524d\u4e70\u5165\u4e0e\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8d27\u3001\u79d1\u6280\u80a1\u671f\u6743\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50033,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50496","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50496","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50496"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50496\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50033"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50496"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50496"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}