{"id":50342,"date":"2026-06-30T06:01:09","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:01:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%b1%ef%bc%8c%e5%9b%a0%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e5%af%b9%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af%e6%8a%bc%e6%b3%a8%e6%98%8e%e6%98%be%e9%99%8d\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T06:01:09","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:01:09","slug":"%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%b1%ef%bc%8c%e5%9b%a0%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e5%af%b9%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af%e6%8a%bc%e6%b3%a8%e6%98%8e%e6%98%be%e9%99%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83-%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%b1%ef%bc%8c%e5%9b%a0%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e5%af%b9%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0%e6%81%af%e6%8a%bc%e6%b3%a8%e6%98%8e%e6%98%be%e9%99%8d\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u606f\u62bc\u6ce8\u660e\u663e\u964d\u6e29\u3001\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\u9884\u671f\u8d8b\u4e8e\u5de9\u56fa\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9759\u5f85\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u5468\u4e8c\u4e9a\u6d32\u65e9\u76d8\u5c0f\u5e45\u8d70\u4f4e\u81f3\u7ea61.1415\uff0c\u56e0\u5e02\u573a\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u52a0\u606f\u524d\u666f\u4e0a\u7684\u5934\u5bf8\u914d\u7f6e\u53d1\u751f\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u8482\u5a1c\u00b7\u62c9\u52a0\u5fb7\u5468\u4e00\u5728\u8be5\u884c\u5e74\u5ea6\u95ed\u95e8\u4f1a\u8bae\u5f00\u5e55\u81f4\u8f9e\u4e2d\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u91d1\u878d\u6846\u67b6\u6539\u5584\u4ee5\u53ca\u7eff\u8272\u8f6c\u578b\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u5bf9\u5916\u90e8\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u6b63\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5979\u4e5f\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u9879\u201c\u4ecd\u8fdc\u672a\u6709\u628a\u63e1\u201d\u7684\u548c\u5e73\u534f\u8bae\u4e0b\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u6709\u6240\u7f13\u548c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u9700\u8981\u6743\u8861\u662f\u5426\u4ecd\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u968f\u7740\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u9884\u671f\u5df2\u88ab\u4e0b\u8c03\u3002\u725b\u6d25\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u9662\uff08Oxford Economics\uff09\u4e0e\u51ef\u6295\u5b8f\u89c2\uff08Capital Economics\uff09\u9884\u8ba1\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u8ba1\u4ef7\u4e00\u6b21\u989d\u5916\u768425\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u4e0a\u8c03\u3001\u5c06\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u63a8\u5347\u81f32.50%\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f84\u88ab\u91cd\u65b0\u4e0a\u4fee\uff1b\u6839\u636eCME FedWatch\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u57289\u6708\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8bc4\u4f30\u63a5\u8fd160%\u3002\u672c\u5468\u540e\u534a\u6bb5\u5e02\u573a\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fdADP\u5c31\u4e1a\u4e0e\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n\n

ECB\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u5316\u62d6\u7d2f\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143<\/h3>\n\n

\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u9762\u4e34\u4e0b\u884c\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4ea4\u6295\u4e8e1.0750\u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u6838\u5fc3\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff08Fed\uff09\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u9884\u671f\u7684\u5206\u5316\u52a0\u5267\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u6cbf\u7740\u963b\u529b\u6700\u5c0f\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u4e0b\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u5728\u6b27\u76df\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff08Eurostat\uff09\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u4f30\u7b97\u663e\u793a\uff0c2026\u5e746\u6708\u901a\u80c0\u964d\u81f31.9%\u3001\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u592e\u884c\u76ee\u6807\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u660e\u663e\u8f6c\u9e3d\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u7ecf\u9a8c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5f53\u901a\u80c0\u4f4e\u4e8e\u76ee\u6807\u65f6\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u5f80\u5f80\u8f6c\u5411\u66f4\u504f\u9e3d\u6d3e\u7684\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u8ba1\u4ef7\uff1a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u57289\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5df2\u8d85\u8fc770%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\u51fa\u73b0\u663e\u8457\u53cd\u8f6c\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u76f8\u8f83\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5229\u7387\u524d\u666f\u66f4\u8d8b\u9e70\u6d3e\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff08Core PCE Price Index\uff0c\u7cfb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u504f\u597d\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6307\u6807\uff09\u610f\u5916\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c2026\u5e745\u6708\u540c\u6bd4\u5f55\u5f973.1%\u3002\u901a\u80c0\u9ecf\u6027\u8feb\u4f7f\u5e02\u573a\u91cd\u65b0\u8bc4\u4f30\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4eca\u5e74\u518d\u5ea6\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u5e02\u573a\u5934\u5bf8\u4e0e\u4ea4\u6613\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n\n

\u8fd9\u4e00\u53d8\u5316\u4e5f\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u671f\u8d27\u4e0a\uff1a\u76ee\u524d\u9690\u542b\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u57289\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u52a0\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u6982\u7387\u63a5\u8fd150%\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u7126\u70b9\u5c06\u8f6c\u5411\u672c\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd6\u6708\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u3002\u82e5\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u518d\u5ea6\u5f3a\u52b2\u3001\u4e0e\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u7684\u7a33\u5065\u8868\u73b0\u76f8\u8fd1\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5de9\u56fa\u4e0a\u8ff0\u9e70\u6d3e\u9884\u671f\u5e76\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u989d\u5916\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n\n

\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f31\u8fdb\u884c\u914d\u7f6e\u66f4\u4e3a\u5ba1\u614e\u3002\u4e70\u5165\u5230\u671f\u57287\u6708\u4e0b\u65ec\u62168\u6708\u7684\u6b27\u5143\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put\uff09\u53ef\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\u754c\u5b9a\uff08defined-risk\uff09\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u7528\u4ee5\u628a\u63e1\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u884c\u60c5\u3002\u8be5\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u5728\u5173\u952e\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u53d1\u5e03\u524d\u540e\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e0e\u4e0b\u884c\u52a8\u80fd\u83b7\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613 \u2014 \u70b9\u51fb\u6b64\u5904<\/a>\u5f00\u8bbe\u60a8\u7684 VT Markets \u771f\u5b9e\u8d26\u6237\u3002<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u56e0ECB\u8f6c\u9e3d\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\u5347\u6e29\u800c\u627f\u538b\uff1a\u901a\u80c0\u56de\u843d\u63a8\u9ad89\u6708\u964d\u606f\u5b9a\u4ef7\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u6216\u5f3a\u5316\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u53ef\u914d\u6b27\u5143\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\u6355\u6349\u4e0b\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50003,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-50342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50342","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/87"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50342"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50342\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50003"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50342"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50342"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50342"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}