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EUR\/USD \u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6269\u5927\u6da8\u5e45\uff0c\u5468\u4e00\u4e9a\u6d32\u65f6\u6bb5\u4ea4\u6295\u4e8e 1.1390 \u9644\u8fd1\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u4ecd\u6613\u53d7\u907f\u9669\u9700\u6c42\u53d8\u5316\u5f71\u54cd\uff1b\u82e5\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5c40\u52bf\u76f8\u5173\u6d88\u606f\u63a8\u52a8\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u5347\u6e29\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u52a8\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u7126\u70b9\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u7f8e\u4f0a\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u8def\u900f\u62a5\u9053\u79f0\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u540c\u610f\u5728\u6d77\u6e7e\u5730\u533a\u6682\u505c\u654c\u5bf9\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u5e76\u5c31\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u95ee\u9898\u91cd\u542f\u8c08\u5224\u3002\u6b64\u524d\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u4e00\u679a\u6295\u5c04\u7269\u4e8e\u5468\u56db\u51fb\u4e2d\u4e00\u8258\u8d27\u8239\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u62a5\u590d\u6027\u6253\u51fb\uff1b\u53cc\u65b9\u4ea6\u76f8\u4e92\u6307\u63a7\u5bf9\u65b9\u8fdd\u53cd 6 \u6708 17 \u65e5\u7684\u4e34\u65f6\u505c\u706b\u534f\u8bae\u3002\u53cc\u65b9\u4ee3\u8868\u56e2\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e8e\u5468\u4e8c\u5728\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u4f1a\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u540c\u65f6\u8ddf\u8e2a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff09\u653f\u7b56\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u56de\u843d\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u77ed\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u5fb7\u56fd\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\uff08Commerzbank\uff09\u6a21\u578b\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u6cb9\u6c14\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u884c\uff0c\u5728\u4f01\u4e1a\u5c06\u7d2f\u79ef\u6210\u672c\u538b\u529b\u5411\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u8f6c\u5ac1\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u57fa\u7840\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5e74\u672b\u524d\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u63a5\u8fd1 3% \u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5e76\u9884\u6d4b ECB \u5c06\u5728 9 \u6708\u8fdb\u884c\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u3002\u5728\u5916\u6c47\u5e02\u573a\u7ed3\u6784\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u5728 2022 \u5e74\u5168\u7403\u5916\u6c47\u4ea4\u6613\u4e2d\u5360\u6bd4 31%\uff0c\u65e5\u5747\u6210\u4ea4\u989d\u8d85\u8fc7 2.2 \u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\uff1b\u5176\u4e2d EUR\/USD \u4f30\u8ba1\u5360\u5168\u90e8\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u7ea6 30%\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u4e3a EUR\/JPY\uff084%\uff09\u3001EUR\/GBP\uff083%\uff09\u548c EUR\/AUD\uff082%\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u77ed\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u7b56\u7565<\/h3>\n

\u9274\u4e8e EUR\/USD \u6c47\u4ef7\u5728 1.1390 \u9644\u8fd1\u8868\u73b0\u5f3a\u52bf\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u660e\u65e5\uff086 \u6708 30 \u65e5\uff09\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u7f8e\u4f0a\u4f1a\u8c08\u3002\u82e5\u5916\u4ea4\u5c42\u9762\u51fa\u73b0\u79ef\u6781\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u524a\u5f31\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u907f\u9669\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u6c47\u4ef7\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u884c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u82e5\u8c08\u5224\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u5219\u5b58\u5728\u660e\u663e\u7684\u201c\u907f\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u5347\u6e29\u2014\u8d44\u91d1\u56de\u6d41\u7f8e\u5143\u201d\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u77ed\u671f\u9650 EUR\/USD \u671f\u6743\u7684\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u5df2\u4ece\u6708\u5747 6.5% \u5347\u81f3 8.2%\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u4e3a\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u884c\u60c5\u5b9a\u4ef7\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08straddle\uff09\u6216\u5bbd\u8de8\u5f0f\uff08strangle\uff09\u7b49\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u4ee5\u5728\u4e0d\u62bc\u6ce8\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u628a\u63e1\u9884\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e0a\u5347\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u4f1a\u8c08\u7ed3\u679c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u77ed\u671f\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u3002<\/p>\n

ECB \u653f\u7b56\u524d\u666f\u4e0e\u4e2d\u671f\u5e02\u573a\u5e03\u5c40<\/h3>\n

\u9664\u5730\u7f18\u56e0\u7d20\u5916\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u76f8\u5bf9\u652f\u6491\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u73af\u5883\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u6b27\u76df\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c40\uff08Eurostat\uff09\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a 5 \u6708\u6838\u5fc3 HICP \u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u5904\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e3a 2.9%\uff0c\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u201c\u4ecd\u6709\u4e00\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\u5728\u9014\u201d\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u3002\u57fa\u4e8e\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u503e\u5411\u901a\u8fc7\u53ef\u5728\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u6b27\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u8fdb\u884c\u5e03\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n

\u671f\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u5f53\u524d\u8ba1\u5165 ECB \u5728 9 \u6708\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8bae\u5b9e\u65bd\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6b21 25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u7ea6\u4e3a 70%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u504f\u9e70\u9884\u671f\u5e94\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u5185\u5728\u652f\u6491\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\u8003\u8651\u914d\u7f6e\u66f4\u957f\u671f\u9650\u7684 EUR\/USD \u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08call\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u83b7\u53d6\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u9a71\u52a8\u578b\u5f3a\u52bf\u655e\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fd9\u4e00\u60c5\u5f62\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5f62\u6210\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1a\u6700\u65b0\u6838\u5fc3 PCE \u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u56de\u843d\u81f3 2.7%\uff0c\u5904\u4e8e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u53ef\u63a5\u53d7\u533a\u95f4\u4e4b\u5185\u3002\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u5316\u52a0\u6df1\u2014\u2014ECB \u4ecd\u504f\u9e70\u800c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u8d8b\u4e8e\u4e2d\u6027\u2014\u2014\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u6b27\u5143\u5f62\u6210\u4e2d\u671f\u770b\u591a\u89c2\u70b9\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ef7\u683c\u538b\u529b\u7f13\u548c\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0cEUR\/USD \u6210\u4e3a\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u7684\u591a\u5934\u914d\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>\n

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