{"id":49525,"date":"2026-06-01T05:59:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T05:59:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%e4%b8%89%e8%bf%9e%e6%b6%a8%e5%bb%b6%e7%bb%ad%e8%87%b3114-60%ef%bc%8c%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e5%96%9c%e5%bf%a7%e5%8f%82%e5%8d%8a%e4%b8%8e%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%e5%b9%b2\/"},"modified":"2026-06-01T05:59:00","modified_gmt":"2026-06-01T05:59:00","slug":"%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%e4%b8%89%e8%bf%9e%e6%b6%a8%e5%bb%b6%e7%bb%ad%e8%87%b3114-60%ef%bc%8c%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e5%96%9c%e5%bf%a7%e5%8f%82%e5%8d%8a%e4%b8%8e%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%e5%b9%b2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e6%be%b3%e5%85%83-%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%e4%b8%89%e8%bf%9e%e6%b6%a8%e5%bb%b6%e7%bb%ad%e8%87%b3114-60%ef%bc%8c%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e5%96%9c%e5%bf%a7%e5%8f%82%e5%8d%8a%e4%b8%8e%e6%97%a5%e5%85%83%e5%b9%b2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u5143\/\u65e5\u5143\u4e09\u8fde\u6da8\u5ef6\u7eed\u81f3114.60\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u559c\u5fe7\u53c2\u534a\u4e0e\u65e5\u5143\u5e72\u9884\u98ce\u9669\u4ea4\u7ec7"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/JPY \u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u5ef6\u7eed\u6da8\u52bf\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u65f6\u6bb5\u4ea4\u6295\u4e8e 114.60 \u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u56e0\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u4e0e\u65e5\u672c\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u559c\u5fe7\u53c2\u534a\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\uff0cRatingDog \u5236\u9020\u4e1a PMI 5 \u6708\u4ece 52.2 \u56de\u843d\u81f3 51.8\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u5171\u8bc6\u7684 51.4\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u65b9\u9762\uff0c5 \u6708 2026 \u5e74 S&#038;P Global \u5236\u9020\u4e1a PMI \u7ec8\u503c\u786e\u8ba4\u4e3a 54.5\uff0c\u4e0e\u521d\u503c\u4e00\u81f4\uff1b\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8f83 4 \u6708\u7684 55.1 \u9ad8\u4f4d\uff08\u4e3a 2022 \u5e74 1 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u9ad8\uff09\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u6269\u5f20\u533a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u5185\u9700\u8109\u52a8\u504f\u5f3a\u4f46\u8d8b\u4e8e\u964d\u6e29\u3002ANZ\u2013Indeed \u62db\u8058\u5e7f\u544a\u6307\u6570 5 \u6708\u6309\u6708\u4e0a\u5347 1.8%\uff0c\u6b64\u524d 4 \u6708\u4e0b\u8dcc 0.6%\uff1bTD-MI \u901a\u80c0\u6307\u6807\u6309\u6708\u4e0b\u6ed1 0.3%\uff0c\u9006\u8f6c\u524d\u503c 0.6% \u7684\u5347\u5e45\uff0c\u5e76\u5f55\u5f97\u81ea 2 \u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u9996\u6b21\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4 2025 \u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u6309\u5e74\u589e\u957f 6.5% \u660e\u663e\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u4e14\u4e0d\u53ca\u9884\u671f\u3002\u65e5\u5706\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4ed3\u4f4d\u4ecd\u504f\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u5e72\u9884\u9884\u671f\u4e5f\u5bf9\u4ea4\u53c9\u76d8\u4e0a\u884c\u6784\u6210\u7ea6\u675f\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Mixed Data Signals and Future Direction<\/h3>\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230 AUD\/JPY \u4ea4\u53c9\u76d8\u5728 114.60 \u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u4f46\u5e95\u5c42\u6570\u636e\u5bf9\u540e\u7eed\u4e0a\u884c\u5448\u73b0\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u56fe\u666f\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7684\u97e7\u6027\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u589e\u901f\u653e\u7f13\u4e5f\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u6fb3\u6d32\u6700\u5927\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u7684\u4e50\u89c2\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u62c9\u626f\u4f7f\u5f97\u77ed\u671f\u7b56\u7565\u5e94\u66f4\u8d8b\u8c28\u614e\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u901a\u80c0\u8d70\u8f6f\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u968f\u7740 TD-MI \u6307\u6807\u8f6c\u4e3a\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u671f\u8d27\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u5bf9\u6fb3\u6d32\u8054\u50a8\uff08RBA\uff09\u5728 9 \u6708\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5b9a\u4ef7\u5df2\u4e0d\u8db3 15%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u53d8\u5316\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u6fb3\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f3a\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9650\u5236\u6da8\u5e45\u7684\u9996\u8981\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u662f\u65e5\u672c\u5f53\u5c40\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u624b\u5e72\u9884\u4ee5\u652f\u6491\u65e5\u5706\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8fd1\u671f\u770b\u5230\u65e5\u672c\u5b98\u5458\u52a0\u5927\u53e3\u5934\u8b66\u544a\u529b\u5ea6\uff0c\u9887\u6709\u91cd\u73b0 2024 \u5e74\u672b\u5e72\u9884\u524d rhetoric \u7684\u610f\u5473\u2014\u2014\u5f53\u65f6\u8be5\u4ea4\u53c9\u76d8\u5347\u7834 110 \u540e\u89e6\u53d1\u5e72\u9884\u3002\u4efb\u4f55\u4e0a\u63a2 115-116 \u533a\u95f4\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\uff0c\u6599\u5c06\u906d\u9047\u5f3a\u52b2\u963b\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u4f34\u968f\u5b98\u65b9\u629b\u552e\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Risk Management and Market Positioning<\/h3>\n<p>\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u503e\u5411\u5173\u6ce8\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u6f5c\u5728\u56de\u8c03\u3001\u6216\u4e0a\u884c\u53d7\u9650\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e70\u5165 1 \u81f3 2 \u4e2a\u6708\u5230\u671f\u7684 AUD\/JPY \u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put options\uff09\uff0c\u662f\u7528\u4e8e\u5bf9\u51b2\u6216\u62bc\u6ce8\u56de\u8c03\u7684\u5ba1\u614e\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u8fd9\u7c7b\u671f\u6743\u7684\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u5df2\u5347\u81f3 11.5%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\u7684 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