{"id":47275,"date":"2026-05-20T02:52:25","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T02:52:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e7%91%9e%e9%83%8e%e7%9e%84%e5%87%860-7900%ef%bc%8c%e5%87%ba%e7%8e%b0%e7%9c%8b%e6%b6%a8%e5%90%9e%e6%b2%a1%e5%bd%a2%e6%80%81%ef%bc%9b%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%88%86%e5%8c%96%e6%8f%90\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T02:52:25","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T02:52:25","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e7%91%9e%e9%83%8e%e7%9e%84%e5%87%860-7900%ef%bc%8c%e5%87%ba%e7%8e%b0%e7%9c%8b%e6%b6%a8%e5%90%9e%e6%b2%a1%e5%bd%a2%e6%80%81%ef%bc%9b%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%88%86%e5%8c%96%e6%8f%90","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83-%e7%91%9e%e9%83%8e%e7%9e%84%e5%87%860-7900%ef%bc%8c%e5%87%ba%e7%8e%b0%e7%9c%8b%e6%b6%a8%e5%90%9e%e6%b2%a1%e5%bd%a2%e6%80%81%ef%bc%9b%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96%e5%88%86%e5%8c%96%e6%8f%90\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u5143\/\u745e\u90ce\u7784\u51c60.7900\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u770b\u6da8\u541e\u6ca1\u5f62\u6001\uff1b\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u5316\u63d0\u632f\u745e\u90ce\u4e0e\u671f\u6743\u9700\u6c42"},"content":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF \u5468\u4e8c\u51fa\u73b0\u201c\u770b\u6da8\u541e\u6ca1\u201d\uff08\u4e00\u79cdK\u7ebf\u5f62\u6001\uff1a\u5f53\u5929\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u5b9e\u4f53\u5b8c\u5168\u8986\u76d6\u524d\u4e00\u5929\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\u5b9e\u4f53\uff0c\u5e38\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u77ed\u7ebf\u8f6c\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0a\u6da8\u903e 0.58%\u3002\u6c47\u4ef7\u5347\u7834 50 \u65e5\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\uff08SMA\uff0c\u6307\u8fc7\u53bb 50 \u4e2a\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff090.7868\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u5728 0.7890 \u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e 0.7900\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u5728 5 \u6708 8 \u65e5\u89e6\u53ca\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u70b9 0.7761 \u540e\u53cd\u5f39\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\uff08DXY\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u7f8e\u5143\u5bf9\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u4e3b\u8981\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u5f3a\u5f31\uff09\u5347\u81f3\u4e94\u5468\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff1b\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff08Treasury yields\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u503a\u5238\u5229\u7387\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u5143\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff09\u8d70\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6280\u672f\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0e\u52a8\u80fd<\/h3>\n

\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570\uff08RSI\uff0c\u4e00\u79cd\u52a8\u80fd\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u6da8\u8dcc\u529b\u5ea6\uff09\u663e\u793a\u504f\u591a\u52a8\u80fd\u3002\u82e5\u5347\u7834 0.7900\uff0c\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8 200 \u65e5 SMA 0.7916\uff1b\u5176\u540e\u963b\u529b\u5728 0.8000\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca 1 \u6708 15 \u65e5\u9ad8\u70b9 0.8041\u3002<\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb\u6cd5\u90ce\uff08CHF\uff09\u662f\u745e\u58eb\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u5c5e\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u4ea4\u6613\u6700\u6d3b\u8dc3\u7684\u524d\u5341\u5927\u8d27\u5e01\u4e4b\u4e00\u30022011 \u81f3 2015 \u5e74\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u745e\u90ce\u4e0e\u6b27\u5143\u201c\u6302\u94a9\u201d\uff08peg\uff0c\u6307\u592e\u884c\u628a\u6c47\u7387\u56fa\u5b9a\u5728\u67d0\u4e2a\u6c34\u5e73\u6216\u533a\u95f4\uff09\uff1b\u53d6\u6d88\u6302\u94a9\u540e\uff0c\u745e\u90ce\u4e00\u5ea6\u5927\u6da8\u903e 20%\uff0c\u5e76\u5f15\u53d1\u5e02\u573a\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u745e\u58eb\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\uff08SNB\uff0c\u745e\u58eb\u592e\u884c\uff09\u6bcf\u5e74\u53ec\u5f00\u56db\u6b21\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u4e3a\u4f4e\u4e8e 2%\u3002\u6709\u4e9b\u6a21\u578b\u4f30\u7b97\u6b27\u5143\/\u745e\u90ce\uff08EUR\/CHF\uff09\u76f8\u5173\u6027\uff08correlation\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u4e24\u8005\u540c\u5411\u6216\u53cd\u5411\u53d8\u52a8\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u6307\u6807\uff09\u8d85\u8fc7 90%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u5316\u53d8\u5316<\/h3>\n

\u76ee\u524d\u66f4\u5173\u952e\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u592e\u884c\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u5316\uff08divergence\uff0c\u6307\u4e0d\u540c\u592e\u884c\u5728\u52a0\u606f\/\u964d\u606f\u65b9\u5411\u4e0e\u529b\u5ea6\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\uff09\u3002\u745e\u58eb\u56fd\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\u7acb\u573a\u66f4\u504f\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u503e\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u538b\u901a\u80c0\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u5728 2026 \u5e74 3 \u6708\u52a0\u606f\u4ee5\u5e94\u5bf9\u987d\u56fa\u901a\u80c0\uff1b\u6700\u65b0\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u4e3a\u540c\u6bd4 2.4%\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4e3a\u745e\u90ce\u63d0\u4f9b\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6682\u505c\u201c\u6536\u7d27\u5468\u671f\u201d\uff08tightening cycle\uff0c\u6307\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u51cf\u5c11\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\uff09\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u8ba1\u5165\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u665a\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u606f\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd 2026 \u5e74 4 \u6708\u6700\u65b0 CPI\uff08\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u901a\u80c0\uff09\u663e\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u964d\u6e29\u81f3 2.9%\uff0c\u4ee4\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0a\u884c\u52a8\u80fd\u6b63\u5728\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f USD\/CHF \u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u51fa\u73b0\u56de\u843d\u6216\u8f6c\u4e3a\u6a2a\u76d8\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USD\/CHF \u5468\u4e8c\u73b0\u770b\u6da8\u541e\u6ca1\u98d90.58%\uff0c\u5347\u783450\u65e5SMA\u81f30.7890\uff1b\u7f8e\u5143\u53d7DXY\u4e0e\u7f8e\u503a\u606f\u6491\u3002\u82e5\u78340.7900\u770b0.7916\/0.80\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6216\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u53cd\u5f39\u6050\u8f6c\u9707\u8361\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-47275","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47275","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/103"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47275"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47275\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47275"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47275"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47275"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}