{"id":47176,"date":"2026-05-19T03:52:16","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T03:52:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%ba%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e8%bd%af%ef%bc%9b%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e6%a0%87%e9%a2%98%e3%80%81%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0\/"},"modified":"2026-05-19T03:52:16","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T03:52:16","slug":"%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%ba%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e8%bd%af%ef%bc%9b%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e6%a0%87%e9%a2%98%e3%80%81%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e6%ac%a7%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e5%bc%ba%ef%bc%8c%e7%be%8e%e5%85%83%e8%b5%b0%e8%bd%af%ef%bc%9b%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e6%a0%87%e9%a2%98%e3%80%81%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e5%8a%a0\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b27\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u8f6f\uff1b\u4f0a\u6717\u5c40\u52bf\u6807\u9898\u3001\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u52a0\u606f\u62bc\u6ce8\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4ea4\u63a5\u6210\u5e02\u573a\u7126\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u504f\u4e2d\u6027\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u76f8\u5173\u6d88\u606f\u4e3b\u5bfc\u76d8\u9762\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u5ef6\u540e\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u53d1\u52a8\u653b\u51fb\uff0c\u4ee5\u6062\u590d\u8c08\u5224\uff1b\u540c\u65f6WTI\uff08\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8d28\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u51c6\uff09\u4ecd\u4e0a\u6da8\u903e1%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u5229\u7387\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u53cd\u5e94<\/h3>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u540e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5f00\u59cb\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u62bc\u6ce8\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\uff08Federal Reserve\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u592e\u884c\uff09\u672a\u6765\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u964d\u606f\u300210\u5e74\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u957f\u671f\u503a\u5238\uff09\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5728\u5468\u4e94\u4e0a\u5347\u540e\u56de\u843d1\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u81f34.585%\uff08\u57fa\u70b9=0.01\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

Prime Terminal\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u57282026\u5e74\u672b\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a50%\u3002\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u8054\u50a8\uff08Chicago Fed\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5730\u533a\u5206\u884c\uff09\u4e3b\u5e2dAustan Goolsbee\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u5e76\u8b66\u544a\u8fc7\u65e9\u964d\u606f\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u3002<\/p>\n

Kevin Warsh\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u4e8e5\u670822\u65e5\uff08\u5468\u4e94\uff09\u5728\u767d\u5bab\u5ba3\u8a93\u5c31\u4efb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u65b9\u9762\u6ca1\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4f46\u8def\u900f\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u592e\u884c\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u57286\u6708\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u81f3\u5c11\u8fd8\u4f1a\u518d\u52a0\u4e00\u6b21\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6280\u672f\u9762\u4e0a\uff0cEUR\/USD\u4e0a\u65b9\u963b\u529b\u9760\u8fd1200\u65e5\u3001100\u65e5\u4e0e20\u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\uff08SMA\uff0c\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\uff1a\u628a\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u4ef7\u683c\u53d6\u5e73\u5747\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u8d8b\u52bf\uff091.1681\u30011.1703\u4e0e1.1707\u3002\u652f\u6491\u57281.1600\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5176\u540e\u662f1.1505\uff1b\u963b\u529b\u53e6\u770b1.1750\/1.1760\u4ee5\u53ca1.1800\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ea4\u6613\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406<\/h3>\n

\u5ef6\u540e\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u52a8\u6b66\u5e26\u6765\u77ed\u6682\u5e73\u9759\uff0c\u4f46\u66f4\u5e94\u89c6\u4e3a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u66f4\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u539f\u6cb9\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u6307\u6570OVX\uff08\u8861\u91cf\u539f\u6cb9\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u6570\u503c\u8d8a\u9ad8\u4ee3\u8868\u5e02\u573a\u8d8a\u62c5\u5fc3\u5267\u70c8\u6da8\u8dcc\uff09\u672c\u6708\u5df2\u4e0a\u6da815%\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u7d27\u5f20\u60c5\u7eea\u672a\u6d88\u3002\u53ef\u4f7f\u7528\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u671f\u6743\uff08options\uff1a\u7528\u8f83\u5c0f\u6210\u672c\u4e70\u5230\u201c\u5728\u67d0\u4ef7\u683c\u4e70\/\u5356\u201d\u7684\u6743\u5229\uff09\u6216\u80fd\u6e90ETF\uff08\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u4ea4\u6613\u57fa\u91d1\uff1a\u50cf\u80a1\u7968\u4e00\u6837\u4e70\u5356\u7684\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u8d44\u4ea7\uff09\u76f8\u5173\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u9632\u8303\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\u5bfc\u81f4\u6cb9\u4ef7\u7a81\u7136\u98d9\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5df2\u503e\u5411\u57286\u6708\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\uff08core inflation\uff1a\u5254\u9664\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u98df\u54c1\u7b49\u6ce2\u52a8\u8f83\u5927\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u66f4\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u957f\u671f\u7269\u4ef7\u538b\u529b\uff09\u4ecd\u987d\u56fa\u57283.1%\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u76ee\u524d\u62bc\u6ce8\u5e74\u5e95\u524d\u81f3\u5c11\u4e24\u6b21\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u8fd9\u901a\u5e38\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u6b27\u5143\u76f8\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u4e5f\u652f\u6301\u901a\u8fc7\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff08derivatives\uff1a\u4ef7\u503c\u8ddf\u968f\u6c47\u7387\u3001\u5229\u7387\u7b49\u6807\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5982\u671f\u8d27\u3001\u671f\u6743\uff09\u7ef4\u6301\u505a\u591a\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u662fKevin Warsh\u672c\u5468\u4e94\u63a5\u4efb\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u3002\u5176\u8fc7\u5f80\u7acb\u573a\u504f\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\uff08hawkish\uff1a\u66f4\u91cd\u89c6\u538b\u5236\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u503e\u5411\u7ef4\u6301\u6216\u63d0\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u4ea4\u63a5\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u4e0a\u5468\u7f8e\u56fdCPI\uff08\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff1a\u8861\u91cf\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6807\uff09\u663e\u793a\u901a\u80c0\u4ecd\u9ad8\u4e8e3.5%\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97Goolsbee\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u66f4\u5177\u53c2\u8003\u6027\u3002\u5728Warsh\u9996\u6b21\u516c\u5f00\u8868\u6001\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u4e70\u5165\u77ed\u671fEUR\/USD\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08call\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u6c47\u7387\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u671f\u6743\uff09\u5177\u5907\u4ea4\u6613\u4ef7\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53ef\u7528\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u4f4d\u6765\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4ea4\u6613\uff1a\u5efa\u7acb\u770b\u6da8\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08call spread\uff1a\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u8f83\u4f4e\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\u3001\u5356\u51fa\u8f83\u9ad8\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u4ee5\u964d\u4f4e\u6210\u672c\u3001\u9650\u5236\u6700\u5927\u5229\u6da6\uff09\uff0c\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u8bbe\u57281.1707\u5747\u7ebf\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u6355\u6349\u7a81\u7834\u4e0a\u884c\u81f31.1800\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e70\u5165\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u4f4e\u4e8e1.1600\u7684\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put\uff1a\u62bc\u6ce8\u6c47\u7387\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u671f\u6743\uff09\u53ef\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9650\u5b9a\u98ce\u9669\uff08defined-risk\uff1a\u6700\u5927\u4e8f\u635f\u4e8b\u5148\u786e\u5b9a\uff09\u7684\u5bf9\u51b2\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u56de\u843d\u81f34\u6708\u4f4e\u70b91.1505\u3002<\/p>\n

\u521b\u5efaVT Markets\u771f\u5b9e\u8d26\u6237<\/a>\u00a0\u5e76\u00a0\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u59cb\u4ea4\u6613<\/a>\u3002 <\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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