{"id":45105,"date":"2026-04-20T19:54:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T19:54:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e5%9c%a8%e8%8b%b1%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf%e5%9d%9b%e5%8f%97%e5%ae%a1%e8%a7%86%e5%8f%8a%e5%be%b7%e5%9b%bd%e7%94%9f%e4%ba%a7%e8%80%85%e4%bb%b7%e6%a0%bc%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d%e4%b8%8b%ef%bc%8c\/"},"modified":"2026-04-20T19:54:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T19:54:52","slug":"%e5%9c%a8%e8%8b%b1%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf%e5%9d%9b%e5%8f%97%e5%ae%a1%e8%a7%86%e5%8f%8a%e5%be%b7%e5%9b%bd%e7%94%9f%e4%ba%a7%e8%80%85%e4%bb%b7%e6%a0%bc%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d%e4%b8%8b%ef%bc%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e5%9c%a8%e8%8b%b1%e5%9b%bd%e6%94%bf%e5%9d%9b%e5%8f%97%e5%ae%a1%e8%a7%86%e5%8f%8a%e5%be%b7%e5%9b%bd%e7%94%9f%e4%ba%a7%e8%80%85%e4%bb%b7%e6%a0%bc%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d%e4%b8%8b%ef%bc%8c\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u575b\u53d7\u5ba1\u89c6\u53ca\u5fb7\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6570\u636e\u5f71\u54cd\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\/\u82f1\u9551\u5b88\u57280.8700\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u6301\u5e73"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6b27\u5143\/\u82f1\u9551\uff08EUR\/GBP\uff09\u5468\u4e00\u57280.8700\u9644\u8fd1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u53d8\u52a8\u4e0d\u5927\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u83b7\u5f97\u652f\u6491\u3001\u82f1\u9551\u627f\u538b\uff0c\u4f7f\u6c47\u4ef7\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u72ed\u7a84\u533a\u95f4\u5185\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u9551\u53d7\u538b\uff0c\u56e0\u82f1\u56fd\u9996\u76f8\u57fa\u5c14\u00b7\u65af\u5854\u9ed8\uff08Keir 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Hormuz\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fd0\u8f93\u822a\u9053\uff09\u7684\u4f0a\u6717\u8d27\u8239\uff1b\u4f0a\u6717\u4e00\u8fb9\u6307\u8d23\u7f8e\u56fd\u7834\u574f\u505c\u706b\uff0c\u4e00\u8fb9\u6697\u793a\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u51fa\u5e2d\u5468\u4e8c\u7684\u4f1a\u8c08\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b27\u5143\u53d7\u5230\u5fb7\u56fd\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6491\u3002\u5fb7\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff08PPI\uff0cProducer Price Index\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u5de5\u5382\u51fa\u5382\u4ef7\/\u4e0a\u6e38\u6210\u672c\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6307\u6807\uff093\u6708\u73af\u6bd4\u4e0a\u6da82.5%\uff0c\u4e3a2022\u5e748\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5f3a\uff1b\u540c\u6bd4\u5219\u4e0b\u8dcc0.2%\uff0c\u6b64\u524d2\u6708\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0b\u8dcc3.3%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u56fd\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u591a\u9879\u6570\u636e\uff1a\u5468\u4e8c\u516c\u5e03\u622a\u81f32\u6708\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5468\u4e09\u516c\u5e033\u6708\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\uff0cConsumer Price Index\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u5c45\u6c11\u65e5\u5e38\u6d88\u8d39\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6307\u6807\uff09\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u516c\u5e03\u96f6\u552e\u9500\u552e\u3002\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u9884\u8ba1\u4e3a5.2%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56de\u987e2025\u5e74\uff0cEUR\/GBP\u957f\u671f\u56f4\u7ed50.8700\u7a84\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u4e4b\u540e\u5c40\u9762\u5df2\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u622a\u81f32026\u5e744\u6708\uff0c\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u5bf9\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd10.8450\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u51fa\u73b0\u660e\u663e\u5206\u5316\uff1a\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\uff08ECB\uff0c\u8d1f\u8d23\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u5229\u7387\u4e0e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff09\u66f4\u504f\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u800c\u82f1\u4f26\u94f6\u884c\uff08BoE\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\uff09\u66f4\u504f\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\uff08hawkish\uff0c\u610f\u601d\u662f\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u52a0\u606f\u6216\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u4ee5\u538b\u901a\u80c0\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5206\u5316\u5e94\u6210\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u89c2\u5bdf\u91cd\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u56fd\u53bb\u5e74\u56f4\u7ed5\u9996\u76f8\u4efb\u547d\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6742\u97f3\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u672a\u5bf9\u82f1\u9551\u9020\u6210\u6301\u4e45\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u91cd\u65b0\u805a\u7126\u201c\u786c\u6570\u636e\u201d\uff08hard data\uff0c\u6307\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u7b49\u53ef\u91cf\u5316\u6570\u636e\uff09\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3CPI\uff08core CPI\uff0c\u5254\u9664\u6ce2\u52a8\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u4e0e\u80fd\u6e90\u540e\u7684\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u66f4\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u957f\u671f\u8d8b\u52bf\uff09\u8fc7\u53bb\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u4e00\u76f4\u9ad8\u4e8e3%\uff1b\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\u8fd1\u671f\u964d\u81f32.5%\uff0c\u4f7fECB\u66f4\u6709\u7406\u7531\u8003\u8651\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u5316\u524d\u666f<\/h3>\n<p>\u65e9\u57282025\u5e74\u521d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u62c5\u5fe7\u5fb7\u56fdPPI\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u540e\u6765\u8bc1\u660e\u53ea\u662f\u4e0e\u80fd\u6e90\u6210\u672c\u6709\u5173\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u51b2\u51fb\u3002\u6b64\u540e\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u4e0a\u6e38\u901a\u80c0\u4fdd\u6301\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u524a\u5f31\u4e86ECB\u5185\u90e8\u201c\u9e70\u6d3e\u201d\u652f\u6301\u7d27\u7f29\u7684\u7406\u7531\u3002\u8fd9\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u89c2\u70b9\uff1aECB\u53ef\u80fd\u81f3\u5c11\u4f1a\u5148\u964d\u606f\u4e00\u6b21\uff0c\u800cBoE\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u665a\u624d\u4f1a\u8003\u8651\u7c7b\u4f3c\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u53bb\u5e74\u5347\u6e29\u7684\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u7f18\u7d27\u5f20\u5df2\u53d8\u4e3a\u957f\u671f\u3001\u4f4e\u5f3a\u5ea6\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6263\u8239\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5df2\u89e3\u51b3\uff0c\u4f46\u533a\u57df\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u4ee4\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4fdd\u6301\u4e00\u5b9a\u652f\u6491\u3002\u5bf9\u4f9d\u8d56\u80fd\u6e90\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u5f62\u6210\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4e0d\u5229\u4e8eECB\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u9009\u62e9\uff1b\u5bf9\u82f1\u56fd\u5f71\u54cd\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u5c0f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u6b64\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u884d\u751f\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\uff08derivative 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differential\uff0c\u4e24\u5730\u5229\u7387\u5dee\uff09\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5411\u82f1\u9551\u503e\u659c\u65f6\uff0c\u53c2\u4e0eEUR\/GBP\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fdc\u671f\u5e02\u573a\uff08forward markets\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u8fdc\u671f\u5408\u7ea6\u7684\u5e02\u573a\uff1b\u8fdc\u671f\u5408\u7ea6\u6307\u7ea6\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u67d0\u65e5\u671f\u6309\u56fa\u5b9a\u6c47\u7387\u5151\u6362\u7684\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\u5df2\u5728\u5b9a\u4ef7\u8fd9\u79cd\u5206\u5316\u9884\u671f\uff0cEUR\/GBP\u8fdc\u671f\u66f2\u7ebf\uff08forward curve\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u8fdc\u671f\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\uff09\u5448\u4e0b\u503e\u3002\u5bf9\u89c2\u70b9\u660e\u786e\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\uff0c\u5356\u51faEUR\/GBP\u8fdc\u671f\u5408\u7ea6\u53ef\u540c\u65f6\u6355\u6349\u73b0\u8d27\u9884\u671f\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u201c\u6b63\u5411\u5957\u606f\u201d\uff08positive 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