{"id":44520,"date":"2026-04-13T19:25:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T19:25:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%af%81%e5%88%b8%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e5%b8%88%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e8%bf%9b%e5%b1%95%e3%80%81%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e4%b8%8e%e7%bb%8f\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T19:25:16","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T19:25:16","slug":"%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%af%81%e5%88%b8%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e5%b8%88%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e8%bf%9b%e5%b1%95%e3%80%81%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e4%b8%8e%e7%bb%8f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e9%81%93%e6%98%8e%e8%af%81%e5%88%b8%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5%e5%b8%88%e7%a7%b0%ef%bc%8c%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e5%b1%80%e5%8a%bf%e8%bf%9b%e5%b1%95%e3%80%81%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e4%b8%8e%e7%bb%8f\/","title":{"rendered":"\u9053\u660e\u8bc1\u5238\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u79f0\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u5c40\u52bf\u8fdb\u5c55\u3001\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u6307\u6807\u5c06\u5f15\u5bfc\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u9884\u671f\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b8f\u89c2\u8d8b\u52bf"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>TD Securities\u7b56\u7565\u5e08\u5965\u65af\u5361\u00b7\u7a46\u5c3c\u5965\u65af\uff08Oscar Munoz\uff09\u548c\u4f0a\u83b1\u00b7\u5c3c\u5c14\uff08Eli Nir\uff09\u628a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b8f\u89c2\u73af\u5883\u4e0e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u8054\u7cfb\u5230\u4f0a\u6717\u5c40\u52bf\u8fdb\u5c55\u3001\u8fd1\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u5347\u4e0e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5c06\u63d0\u9ad8\u201c\u6ede\u80c0\u201d\uff08\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u751a\u81f3\u505c\u6ede\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7269\u4ef7\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\uff09\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba9\u653f\u7b56\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u504f\u7d27\u6c34\u5e73\uff08\u5229\u7387\u8f83\u9ad8\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u6761\u4ef6\u8f83\u4e25\u683c\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52a8\u76f4\u52302026\u5e749\u6708\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u4f0a\u6717\u5c40\u52bf\u53ca\u5176\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5230\u90a3\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e5f\u9884\u8ba1\u901a\u80c0\u6539\u5584\u5c06\u91cd\u65b0\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u652f\u6301\u653f\u7b56\u9010\u6b65\u8d70\u5411\u66f4\u201c\u4e2d\u6027\u201d\uff08\u4e0d\u523a\u6fc0\u4e5f\u4e0d\u6291\u5236\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u5e73\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Higher Oil Prices Raise Stagflation Risks<\/h3>\n<p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u9884\u6d4b2026\u5e74\u5408\u8ba1\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff08bps\uff0c\u57fa\u70b9\uff1b1\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9=0.01\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff09\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u57289\u6708\u4e0e12\u6708\u5404\u4e00\u6b21\u3002\u5e76\u9884\u8ba12027\u5e743\u6708\u518d\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u4f7f\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\uff08\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff09\u964d\u81f33.00%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6587\u7ae0\u79f0\u5185\u5bb9\u7531\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5de5\u5177\u534f\u52a9\u751f\u6210\u5e76\u7ecf\u7f16\u8f91\u5ba1\u6838\uff0c\u5e76\u6307\u51fa\u672a\u6765\u51b3\u7b56\u5c06\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5373\u5c06\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u3001\u6d88\u8d39\u4e0e\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7b49\u6570\u636e\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9274\u4e8e\u8fd1\u671f\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u9644\u8fd1\u5c40\u52bf\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0a\u5468\u516c\u5e03\u76843\u6708CPI\uff08\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u4e00\u822c\u5bb6\u5ead\u8d2d\u4e70\u5546\u54c1\u4e0e\u670d\u52a1\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff09\u540c\u6bd4\u5347\u81f33.1%\u3001\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u8010\u5fc3\u3002\u592e\u884c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u76f4\u52309\u6708\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8bae\uff0c\u4ee5\u8bc4\u4f30\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fdb\u5c55\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8be5\u653f\u7b56\u8def\u5f84\u5c06\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4f9d\u8d56\u540e\u7eed\u6570\u636e\u662f\u5426\u8feb\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6539\u53d8\u7acb\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u5229\u7387\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u53ef\u80fd\u8fc7\u65e9\u62bc\u6ce8\u964d\u606f\u3002\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u671f\u8d27\uff08\u53cd\u6620\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u9884\u671f\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5408\u7ea6\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u9690\u542b7\u6708\u964d\u606f\u6982\u7387\u63a5\u8fd140%\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u5f53\u524d\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\u504f\u4e50\u89c2\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u201c\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\u7684\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52a8\u201d\uff08\u9e70\u6d3e\u6307\u66f4\u91cd\u89c6\u63a7\u901a\u80c0\u3001\u503e\u5411\u7ef4\u6301\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\uff09\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5356\u51fa\u8fd1\u6708SOFR\u671f\u8d27\uff08SOFR\u4e3a\u201c\u6709\u62c5\u4fdd\u9694\u591c\u878d\u8d44\u5229\u7387\u201d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3b\u8981\u77ed\u671f\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u4e4b\u4e00\uff1b\u5176\u671f\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u5229\u7387\u9884\u671f\u76f8\u5173\uff09\uff0c\u6216\u4e70\u5165\u5176\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff08put\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u65f6\u83b7\u5229\u7684\u671f\u6743\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Positioning For Volatility And Defensive Trades<\/h3>\n<p>\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u53e0\u52a0\u901a\u80c0\u9ecf\u6027\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u53ef\u80fd\u504f\u9ad8\u3002VIX\u6307\u6570\uff08\u8861\u91cf\u6807\u666e500\u9690\u542b\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\u7684\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u5e38\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u6050\u614c\u6307\u6570\u201d\uff09\u56de\u5347\u81f3\u63a5\u8fd119\uff0c\u9002\u5408\u8003\u8651\u914d\u7f6e\u5e94\u5bf9\u7a81\u53d1\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u4fdd\u62a4\u3002\u4e70\u5165VIX\u6216\u76f8\u5173ETF\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u671f\u6743\uff08call\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\u83b7\u5229\u7684\u671f\u6743\uff09\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u5bf9\u51b2\u672a\u6765\u6570\u5468\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4e0a\u5347\u5bf9\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u51b2\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u5347\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6ede\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u89c6\uff0cWTI\u539f\u6cb9\uff08\u897f\u5fb7\u5dde\u4e2d\u8d28\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u6cb9\u57fa\u51c6\uff09\u76ee\u524d\u7a33\u5b88\u6bcf\u687698\u7f8e\u5143\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8fd9\u7c7b\u201c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u6ea2\u4ef7\u201d\uff08\u56e0\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u5236\u88c1\u3001\u8fd0\u8f93\u4e2d\u65ad\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u800c\u989d\u5916\u62ac\u9ad8\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\uff0c\u4f7f\u80fd\u6e90\u677f\u5757\u7684\u770b\u591a\u4ed3\u4f4d\u66f4\u5177\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u3002\u4f7f\u7528\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u4ef7\u5dee\u7b56\u7565\uff08call 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ETF\uff08\u8ffd\u8e2a\u539f\u6cb9\u671f\u8d27\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u578b\u57fa\u91d1\uff09\u53ef\u5728\u63a7\u5236\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e0a\u884c\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u56de\u987e\u8fc7\u53bb\uff0c2025\u5e74\u672b\u901a\u80c0\u6bd4\u9884\u6d4b\u66f4\u987d\u56fa\u540e\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u91ca\u653e\u51fa\u66f4\u8010\u5fc3\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u65e9\u5148\u5bf92026\u5e74\u4e0a\u534a\u5e74\u591a\u6b21\u964d\u606f\u7684\u671f\u5f85\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u6301\u7eed\u56de\u843d\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u8d8b\u52bf\u5982\u4eca\u5df2\u505c\u6ede\u3002\u8fd9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u652f\u6301\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5224\u65ad\uff1a\u76ee\u524d\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u542f\u52a8\u964d\u606f\u7684\u95e8\u69db\u66f4\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u73af\u5883\u5bf9\u80a1\u5e02\u4e0d\u53cb\u597d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6295\u5165\u6210\u672c\uff08\u5982\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u8fd0\u8f93\uff09\u4e0e\u504f\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u6324\u538b\u4f01\u4e1a\u5229\u6da6\u7387\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u8bae\u5229\u7528\u671f\u6743\u5728\u5bf9\u589e\u957f\u66f4\u654f\u611f\u7684\u6307\u6570\uff08\u5982\u7eb3\u65af\u8fbe\u514b100\uff09\u4e0a\u5efa\u7acb\u9632\u5b88\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4e70\u5165\u770b\u8dcc\u4ef7\u5dee\uff08put 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