{"id":44254,"date":"2026-04-10T05:02:54","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T05:02:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/uncategorized\/%e5%be%b7%e5%9b%bd%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e5%ae%89%e7%89%b9%e8%80%b6%c2%b7%e6%99%ae%e9%9b%b7%e5%a4%ab%e5%85%8b%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%ef%bc%8c%e5%b0%bd%e7%ae%a1%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e6%95%b0\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T05:02:54","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T05:02:54","slug":"%e5%be%b7%e5%9b%bd%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e5%ae%89%e7%89%b9%e8%80%b6%c2%b7%e6%99%ae%e9%9b%b7%e5%a4%ab%e5%85%8b%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%ef%bc%8c%e5%b0%bd%e7%ae%a1%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e6%95%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/live-updates\/%e5%be%b7%e5%9b%bd%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a%e9%93%b6%e8%a1%8c%e5%ae%89%e7%89%b9%e8%80%b6%c2%b7%e6%99%ae%e9%9b%b7%e5%a4%ab%e5%85%8b%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%ef%bc%8c%e5%b0%bd%e7%ae%a1%e9%80%9a%e8%83%80%e6%95%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5fb7\u56fd\u5546\u4e1a\u94f6\u884c\u5b89\u7279\u8036\u00b7\u666e\u96f7\u592b\u514b\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u745e\u5178\u592e\u884c\u4ecd\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u53d8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u745e\u51783\u6708\u521d\u6b65\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\uff08CPI\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u4e00\u7bee\u5b50\u5546\u54c1\u4e0e\u670d\u52a1\u4ef7\u683c\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u6307\u6807\uff09\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u3002\u603b\u4f53\u901a\u80c0\uff08Headline inflation\uff0c\u5305\u542b\u6240\u6709\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u901a\u80c0\uff09\u6309\u5e74\u964d\u81f31.6%\uff0c\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u76842.2%\uff1b\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\uff08Core inflation\uff0c\u5254\u9664\u6ce2\u52a8\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u5982\u80fd\u6e90\u4e0e\u98df\u54c1\uff0c\u66f4\u80fd\u53cd\u6620\u4e2d\u957f\u671f\u4ef7\u683c\u538b\u529b\uff09\u4e3a1.1%\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u76841.5%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u504f\u5f31\u6570\u636e\u4e3b\u8981\u4e0e\u201c\u57fa\u6570\u6548\u5e94\u201d\uff08Base effects\uff0c\u5373\u53bb\u5e74\u540c\u671f\u6570\u503c\u8f83\u9ad8\u6216\u8f83\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f1a\u5728\u540c\u6bd4\u8ba1\u7b97\u65f6\u653e\u5927\u6216\u538b\u4f4e\u4eca\u5e74\u8bfb\u6570\uff09\u4ee5\u53ca\u745e\u5178\u514b\u6717\uff08krona\/SEK\uff0c\u745e\u5178\u8d27\u5e01\uff09\u53bb\u5e74\u5347\u503c\u6709\u5173\u3002\u745e\u5178\u592e\u884c\uff08Riksbank\uff09\u81ea\u8eab\u9884\u6d4b\u5df2\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u603b\u4f53\u6216\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u660e\u663e\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5176\u76ee\u6807\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Inflation Outlook And Key Drivers<\/h3>\n<p>\u4e0b\u4e2a\u6708\u8ba1\u5212\u4e0b\u8c03\u589e\u503c\u7a0e\uff08VAT\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u7a0e\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\uff09\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u538b\u4f4e\u901a\u80c0\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u8d70\u9ad8\u662f\u4e0a\u884c\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u63a8\u9ad8\u901a\u80c0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u745e\u5178\u592e\u884c\u57283\u6708\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8bae\u91cd\u7533\uff0c\u5728\u505c\u706b\u540e\u51b2\u7a81\u5f62\u52bf\u53d8\u5316\u4e0b\uff0c\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u89c2\u5bdf\u540e\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6570\u636e\u672a\u663e\u793a\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\u9700\u8981\u8c03\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u745e\u5178\u514b\u6717\u4e3b\u8981\u53d7\u5168\u7403\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\uff08global risk sentiment\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u98ce\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u7684\u504f\u597d\u9ad8\u4f4e\uff09\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u9884\u671f\u53d8\u5316\uff08interest rate expectations\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u5411\u7684\u5224\u65ad\uff09\u5bf9\u6c47\u7387\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u76f8\u5bf9\u6ca1\u90a3\u4e48\u5173\u952e\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>Implications For Rates And Volatility<\/h3>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u745e\u5178\u592e\u884c\u65e0\u6cd5\u518d\u50cf2025\u5e74\u90a3\u6837\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u6309\u5175\u4e0d\u52a8\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u653f\u7b56\u5229\u7387\uff08policy rate\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u7528\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\u501f\u8d37\u6210\u672c\u4e0e\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\uff09\u5df2\u8fde\u7eed\u4e24\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\u7ef4\u6301\u57283.75%\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u91ca\u653e\u8f6c\u5411\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u9694\u591c\u6307\u6570\u6389\u671f\uff08overnight index swaps\uff0cOIS\uff1b\u7528\u4e8e\u62bc\u6ce8\u672a\u6765\u77ed\u671f\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f84\u7684\u5229\u7387\u884d\u751f\u54c1\uff09\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf96\u6708\u4f1a\u8bae\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5b9a\u4ef7\u5df2\u8d85\u8fc760%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u745e\u5178\u514b\u6717\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u671f\u6743\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\uff08options traders\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u671f\u6743\u8fdb\u884c\u5bf9\u51b2\u6216\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u4eba\uff09\u9762\u5bf9\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u73af\u5883\u3002\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\u4e0a\u5347\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u5229\u597d\u6c47\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u8be5\u8d27\u5e01\u4ecd\u9ad8\u5ea6\u654f\u611f\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u98ce\u9669\u60c5\u7eea\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u56fd\u5185\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u4e0e\u5916\u90e8\u98ce\u9669\u56e0\u7d20\u62c9\u626f\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u5458\u53ef\u8003\u8651\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u6b27\u5143\/\u745e\u5178\u514b\u6717\uff08EUR\/SEK\uff09\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u505a\u591a\u6ce2\u52a8\u7387\uff08long volatility\uff0c\u5373\u62bc\u6ce8\u4ef7\u683c\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\uff09\u5982\u4e70\u5165\u8de8\u5f0f\u671f\u6743\uff08straddle\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u540c\u4e00\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u4e0e\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\u4f46\u4e0d\u62bc\u6ce8\u65b9\u5411\uff09\u6216\u5bbd\u8de8\u5f0f\u671f\u6743\uff08strangle\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e70\u5165\u540c\u4e00\u5230\u671f\u65e5\u4f46\u4e0d\u540c\u884c\u6743\u4ef7\u7684\u770b\u6da8\u4e0e\u770b\u8dcc\u671f\u6743\uff0c\u6210\u672c\u901a\u5e38\u66f4\u4f4e\u4f46\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u5927\u6ce2\u52a8\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u7a33\u59a5\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b21\u745e\u5178\u592e\u884c\u4f1a\u8bae\u524d\u3002\u8fd9\u7c7b\u505a\u6cd5\u53ef\u5728\u9e70\u6d3e\u610f\u5916\uff08hawkish surprise\uff0c\u5373\u592e\u884c\u7acb\u573a\u6bd4\u9884\u671f\u66f4\u504f\u5411\u52a0\u606f\uff09\u5bfc\u81f4\u6c47\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u6216\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u9aa4\u964d\u5f15\u53d1\u629b\u552e\u65f6\uff0c\u4e89\u53d6\u83b7\u5f97\u56de\u62a5\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u745e\u51783\u6708CPI\u610f\u5916\u504f\u8f6f\uff1a\u603b\u4f531.6%\u3001\u6838\u5fc31.1%\u9f50\u4f4e\u9884\u671f\u3002\u57fa\u6570\u6548\u5e94\u4e0e\u514b\u6717\u5347\u503c\u62d6\u7d2f\uff0cVAT\u4e0b\u8c03\u6216\u518d\u538b\u901a\u80c0\uff1bOIS\u62bc\u6ce86\u6708\u52a0\u606f>60%\uff0cEUR\/SEK\u6ce2\u52a8\u7b56\u7565\u53d7\u5173\u6ce8\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":103,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- 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