{"id":13763,"date":"2024-07-01T12:06:02","date_gmt":"2024-07-01T12:06:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/?p=13763"},"modified":"2024-07-01T12:06:02","modified_gmt":"2024-07-01T12:06:02","slug":"forex-market-analysis-market-reacts-to-french-election-results","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/cn\/notification\/forex-market-analysis-market-reacts-to-french-election-results\/","title":{"rendered":"Forex Market Analysis: Market Reacts to French Election Results"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">CURRENCIES<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>French election outcomes:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The right-wing National Rally (NR) party secured nearly 34% of the vote.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The left-wing New Popular Front garnered just over 28%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>President Macron\u2019s alliance came third with around 21%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>NR is close to the 289 seats needed to form a government but is projected to fall short by about 10 seats in the second round.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market response:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Both the Euro and CAC 40 started the week strong.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>CAC 40 rose by 2.5%, now at 7,685, yet still below the May 10th peak of 8,262.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Euro increased, but further gains may be limited before next week&#8217;s elections.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>EUR\/USD is trading around 1.0765, near a three-week high.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market conditions:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Anticipated tactical voting in France could heighten CAC 40 volatility.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Important upcoming US data, particularly Friday\u2019s US Jobs Report (NFP), will impact EUR\/USD movements.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Trader sentiment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Retail trader data indicates 50.39% of traders are net-long.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The ratio of long to short traders is 1.02 to 1.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The number of net-long traders decreased by 10.75% since yesterday and 25.08% since last week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Net-short traders increased by 21.60% since yesterday and 30.87% since last week.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A contrarian view suggests EUR\/USD might fall, but recent sentiment shifts hint at a potential upward reversal despite current net-long positions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading has-medium-font-size\">STOCK MARKET<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market reaction:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>European stocks and the euro surged on speculation that Marine Le Pen\u2019s far-right party will struggle to secure an outright majority in the French elections, reducing investor concerns about a radical policy shift in France.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Election impact:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>France\u2019s CAC 40 Index jumped 2.8%, the largest gain since November 2022, as Le Pen\u2019s National Rally led President Macron\u2019s centrist alliance by a smaller margin than expected.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Euro reached its strongest level since mid-June.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The yield spread between French 10-year bonds and German bonds narrowed, indicating reduced risk perceptions.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market performance:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Europe\u2019s Stoxx 600 Index rose by 1%, with banking stocks leading the gains.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Societe Generale SA, BNP Paribas SA, and Credit Agricole SA surged over 5%.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>US equity futures trimmed earlier gains.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Market sentiment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Investors showed relief as neither far-right nor far-left parties are expected to implement extreme policies.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Corporate news:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Boeing Co. agreed to buy back Spirit AeroSystems Holdings Inc. for $37.25 per share in an all-stock deal.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The US Justice Department will charge Boeing with criminal fraud.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>US economic data:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Indicators suggest the US economy is cooling without lasting consumer damage.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>US consumer sentiment declined less than expected, with inflationary pressures predicted to moderate.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Treasury 10-year notes showed little change.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Global market dynamics:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The South African rand led gains among emerging market currencies after President Cyril Ramaphosa announced a new business-friendly cabinet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Oil prices edged higher amidst economic and geopolitical assessments.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Iron ore prices rose on signs of recovery in China\u2019s property market and potential further support from Beijing.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.net\/trade-now\/\" title=\"\">here<\/a> to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CURRENCIES French election outcomes: Market response: Market conditions: Trader sentiment: STOCK MARKET Market reaction: Election impact: Market performance: Market sentiment: Corporate news: US economic data: Global market dynamics: Click here to open account and start trading.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[84],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-notification"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 4.9.10 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"CURRENCIES French election outcomes: The right-wing National Rally (NR) party secured nearly 34% of the vote. 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