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by VT Markets
Oct 12, 2026
新加坡元整体保持稳定，尽管美元走强且油价上涨；市场对新加坡金融管理局（MAS）可能收紧政策的预期支撑了新元名义有效汇率（S$NEER）。美元/新元（USD/SGD）在1.28附近、接近近期高位区间交投；技术指标显示多头动能仍在，但相对强弱指数（RSI）走势趋于平坦。上方阻力位分别在1.2820（100日均线）与1.2840（38.2%斐波那契回撤位）；下方支撑位在1.2740/50，对应2026年低点至高点行情的61.8%回撤位与50日均线的叠加区域。
在S$NEER已位于政策区间偏强一侧的情况下，若MAS进一步上调政策带斜率，或将强化中期升值偏向，但在美元更强的背景下，未必能推动新元兑美元进一步走强。报告称，若MAS维持政策不变，可能低于市场预期，并使S$NEER回落向区间中值；同时，USD/SGD仍对广义美元走势、美国利率以及短期风险情绪的变化保持敏感。
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