by VT Markets
Oct 15, 2026
印度央行（RBI）的措施有助于遏制投机活动，并为印度卢比提供支撑；央行行长亦释放出对进一步行动持开放态度的信号，使市场在重新建立卢比空头（short-INR）头寸方面更为谨慎。即便如此，美元/印度卢比（USD/INR）一度短暂跌破95关口后回升，因美元走强及油价维持高位打断了卢比的反弹动能。美国CPI数据超预期推动美元与美国国债收益率上行，进一步强化市场观点：国内监管举措在短期内可缓解压力，但难以完全抵御外部逆风对汇率的冲击。
技术面显示，USD/INR在连续四个交易日累计下跌近2%后，下行节奏可能放缓。日线动能已转为偏空，RSI回落；但RSI的下行趋缓以及隔夜价格表现表明，抛压或在减弱。关键支撑位关注94.70，其后为94.20；阻力位则位于95.60附近及96附近。更为持续的卢比修复行情被认为有赖于油价出现一定回落以及美元走弱。
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