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Live Updates

27

Feb 2026

澳元/美元在亚洲时段跌至0.7110附近，但澳元或因澳洲联储谨慎的前景展望获得支撑

澳元兑美元连跌至0.7110，但RBA偏谨慎或限跌。市场仍押注5月加息与年内40bp收紧。美关税不确定压美元。然澳洲通胀回落、RBA转宽松，美通胀顽强致分化，偏震荡下行。

27

Feb 2026

1月，澳大利亚私营部门信贷环比增长0.5%，低于0.7%的预期

澳洲1月私营信贷环比仅增0.5%低于预期0.7%，贷款需求降温。RBA再加息概率下滑、降息或更早；澳元承压，股市波动或上升。

27

Feb 2026

在亚洲早盘交易时段，欧元/美元徘徊在1.1800附近，欧元区通胀疲软抵消了美国关税不确定性

欧元兑美元徘徊1.1800：欧元区通胀降温压欧元，美国15%关税反复成对冲。聚焦德国CPI与美国PPI，政策分化与政治冲击或再掀汇率剧烈波动。

27

Feb 2026

Bob Savage表示：近期表现最弱的非套利货币对美元/新元最近出现资金外流缓和迹象，暗示反转动能正在酝酿

BNY数据显示USD/SGD成最弱非套利货币对，三周净卖后卖压骤缓，动能或反转！美通胀超预期或推迟降息，政策分化利多美元，短期限看涨期权可博反弹。

27

Feb 2026

日本统计局报告称，东京2月CPI通胀同比升至1.6%，此前为1.5%

东京2月CPI升至1.6%，核心1.8%略超预期但降温；USD/JPY回落。日本央行再加息预期升温，春斗或超4.5%薪资引爆日元波动。

27

Feb 2026

2月东京CPI（不含生鲜食品）同比上涨1.8%，高于1.7%的预期

东京2月核心CPI同比升1.8%超预期，推高日央行3月加息概率；日元或走强、USD/JPY或下行。关注做空JGB、以日经看跌期权对冲出口股压力。

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