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Live Updates

27

Feb 2026

德国巴伐利亚州月度CPI在2月份上涨0.2%，此前持平

巴伐利亚2月CPI环比回升至0.2%，通胀降温或停滞，削弱市场大幅降息押注。欧债多头需谨慎，欧元或获支撑，股市面临回调风险。

27

Feb 2026

德国巴伐利亚州CPI同比通胀率降至1.9%，低于2月的2.1%

巴伐利亚2月CPI同比降至1.9%低于2%目标，暗示德国与欧元区通胀或更弱。降息预期升温推高利率期货、压欧元；DAX或受益，期权交易机会浮现。

27

Feb 2026

荷兰合作银行的斯特凡·库普曼指出：在工党补选败给绿党和英国改革党后，英国政治风险上升

戈顿与丹顿补选工党惨败，左右夹击加剧政治风险。5月地区选举成关键：若再失利或触发党魁挑战，英镑波动上升、英国资产承压，期权对冲受关注。

27

Feb 2026

1月德国失业人数变动增加1千人，低于预期的2千人，数据显示

德国1月失业仅增1000人低于预期，显示经济韧性。欧央行降息压力减弱、利率或高位更久：欧元与德股受撑，交易者应下调降息押注。

27

Feb 2026

2月，西班牙协调月度消费者通胀率上升0.4%，高于0.3%的预期

西班牙2月HICP环比升0.4%超预期：通胀黏性难退，ECB降息或更晚；短端降息押注降温、欧元获支撑，股市估值承压，EUR/USD或冲1.10。

27

Feb 2026

2月，西班牙年度CPI录得2.3%，高于2.2%的预期

西班牙2月CPI同比2.3%略超预期，通胀黏性再敲警钟：欧央行降息或更慢更晚。关注德法数据，警惕德债收益率剧震，提前对冲利率上行风险。

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