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27

Feb 2026

德国月度消费者价格指数2月份上涨0.2%，低于预期的0.5%涨幅

德国2月CPI环比仅涨0.2%，爆冷低于预期0.5%。通胀回落加大ECB转鸽、押注夏季降息；利率期货受益，欧元或承压，EUR/USD期权可布局。

27

Feb 2026

德国年度协调消费者通胀率2%，2月低于2.1%的预期

德国2月HICP同比2.0%低于预期，通胀更快达标！ECB或转鸽、降息提前：短端利率期货偏强；欧股与DAX受益；欧元承压；波动率或回落。

27

Feb 2026

德国2月调和消费者价格环比上涨0.4%，低于预期的0.5%

德国2月HICP环比仅升0.4%，低于预期0.5%：通胀降温或促ECB更早降息，利多降收益率交易、Euribor与DAX期权；宽松预期升温令欧元承压。

27

Feb 2026

在欧洲时段，日元回吐早前对美元的涨幅，美元/日元反弹至155.90附近总体走强

日元周五回吐涨幅，美元/日元逼近155.90。市场降温日本央行加息预期、通胀走弱；美联储降息受阻。利差或继续推高美元/日元至165。

27

Feb 2026

冯·格里希表示，美国稀疏的数据表明美联储将继续按兵不动，而核心PCE意外上升

核心PCE意外走强、与CPI背离：通胀降温或更慢。Nordea称美联储对就业风险更均衡，短期或按兵不动、暂停降息更久；远期仍偏向降息。

27

Feb 2026

2月16日，印度的美元储备从此前的7257.3亿美元降至7236.1亿美元

印度外储一周降21.2亿美元至7236.1亿，暗示央行卖美元护住卢比84关口；通胀5.2%助推稳汇率，或可卖3月84.25/84.50美元兑卢比看涨期权赚权利金。

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