by VT Markets
Oct 14, 2026
加元兑美元走强0.2%，但在美元整体走弱的背景下，其表现仍落后于其他G10货币。尽管就业数据疲弱，市场仍持续计入加拿大央行在年末前进一步收紧政策，这在即将到来的央行沟通窗口前塑造了加元的短期走势。
利率定价显示，市场对10月会议计入约6个基点的收紧预期；并在此基础上，将至12月的累计收紧预期扩展至约21个基点。由于本周稍晚将有三场加拿大央行官员公开讲话，市场认为相关风险在短期内处于高位。
USD/CAD的公允价值估算为1.4214，略低于即期水平。技术位方面，阻力被描述为1.42中段附近，支撑位在1.41与1.40。动量指标被概括为偏多/中性：在9月的上涨行情将RSI推升至接近80、并高于70的超买阈值后，RSI已回落至60中段。
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