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by VT Markets
Sep 24, 2026
挪威央行（Norges Bank）将政策利率上调25个基点至4.5%，并上修政策利率路径，称未来六个月再次加息的概率为40%。央行的前瞻指引显示2028年前不会降息，表明即便短期利率路径仍取决于数据表现，货币政策也将长期维持限制性立场。
在最新预测中，挪威央行预计挪威本土经济增长将维持在约1%，略低于潜在增速，同时失业率预计将小幅上升。
挪威央行认为，自6月以来通胀前景总体保持不变，尽管今年夏季通胀回落且挪威克朗（NOK）略有走强；同时，央行提及来自外部的更强输入性冲击，例如能源与大宗商品价格走势。
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