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by VT Markets
Sep 23, 2026
大华银行（UOB）策略师预计，美元/离岸人民币（USD/CNH）短期内将缓步走低，但整体仍将维持区间震荡。在延续上周五跌势后，该货币对触及6.6912；该行认为下行动能仅出现轻微增强。就下一交易时段而言，其预测汇价将在6.6890至6.6960区间内交投，并判断有效跌破6.6890的可能性不大。
在未来一至三周的时间跨度内，大华银行指出，在汇价跌破6.7000后，下行动能正在累积；该关键位自9月18日（当时现汇为6.7035）起即被重点跟踪。该行此前曾提示，若该货币对跌破并站稳6.7000下方，则存在进一步下探至6.6920的空间，但同时强调这一判断取决于汇价需持续运行在6.7170下方，并将该水平描述为强阻力。随着USD/CNH现已回落至6.6912，该行给出的下一下行目标位为6.6820，同时将强阻力位更新至6.7020；从一至三个月的视角看，只要汇价仍处于约6.7815附近的云层下方，其预计美元/离岸人民币将延续温和、渐进式下行。
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