by VT Markets
Sep 23, 2026
短短一周多时间内，欧洲央行（ECB）、美联储（Fed）和日本央行（BoJ）均上调利率，而英国央行（BoE）则维持利率不变。欧洲央行将存款利率上调至2.50%，并表示更高的能源成本可能使通胀在2027年之前很长一段时间内持续高于其2%的目标。在美国，美联储进一步加息25个基点，并释放出更陡峭的政策利率路径信号；与此同时，日本央行也将利率上调25个基点至1.25%，并在继续退出超宽松政策立场的过程中推进政策正常化。
随着各国央行将关注点聚焦于“第二轮效应”，政策信号趋于一致——即能源冲击如何通过工资传导、定价行为以及通胀预期，进而推升核心通胀。英国央行将利率维持在3.75%不变，但预测2027年初消费者价格涨幅将超过4%，并维持鹰派立场。官员们同时也强调经济活动的韧性：欧洲央行指出消费、投资与服务业表现更为坚挺；美联储上调经济增长预测；英国央行亦将第三季度经济增速预测上修。日本方面则称潜在通胀正接近目标，工资向价格的传导以及通胀预期上升为进一步政策正常化提供支撑。
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