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今日分析

14

Sep 2026

比特币维持在7.8万美元附近，CLARITY法案投票成市场焦点

比特币回落至7.75万美元附近，78,000美元成多空枢轴；美国参议院《CLARITY法案》程序性表决若过60票或缓解监管不确定性、提振风险偏好，否则短线或加剧抛压。

14

Sep 2026

FOMC会议前瞻：标普500指数展望，聚焦美联储利率决议

警惕FOMC：标普500跌破9周期均线，徘徊7633；利率期货计入9月加息25bp概率95%。8月CPI与核心通胀偏强，或推升美债收益率与美元，压制股金并放大波动。

14

Sep 2026

新一轮袭击沙特后，油价飙升突破105美元

胡塞再袭沙特叠加霍尔木兹航运风险升温，布伦特原油突破105美元并触及108上方；东西管道中断恐波及全球约4%供给，通胀预期抬升、加剧美联储再加息定价。

13

Sep 2026

随着美联储决议临近，黄金维持在4,300美元上方

金价重返4300美元上方，市场聚焦美8月CPI环比升0.4%凸显通胀黏性，强化美联储偏鹰预期；利率与美债收益率上行或压制无息资产，4300成决议前多空枢轴。

11

Sep 2026

道指在通胀数据、油价及美联储降息押注影响下维持在52,000点附近

PPI超预期叠加油价走高推升通胀预期，美债收益率上行压制风险偏好；DJ30反弹后受阻52,200-52,240，市场静待8月CPI定方向。

11

Sep 2026

USDX预测：美元在美国CPI公布前反弹，市场对美联储加息押注升温

CPI公布在即：市场预期8月整体CPI环比0.4%、核心0.2%；PPI走强推升9月加息定价至70%。USDX聚焦98.808突破与98.741失守，牵动金股债。

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