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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

特朗普称美国海军已清除霍尔木兹海峡水雷，缓解原油风险溢价并降温波动率交易

特朗普称美军清除霍尔木兹海峡水雷并实施“零容忍”，供应扰动风险溢价或回落，油价与隐含波动率承压；可布局熊市价差或波动率策略，并防突发升级风险。

Written on August 25, 2026 at 8:24 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美元/日元维持窄幅区间震荡，市场加码押注日本央行9月收紧政策，日元表现落后于G10货币同业

Glowing glass Yen symbol with floating pink and blue banknotes, conveying currency and finance in a futuristic scene.

日元疲弱令美元/日元陷158-159.5震荡；市场仅计入日本央行9月收紧20bp，定价偏低存上修风险。策略：买入日元看涨或跨式，提前布局。

Written on August 25, 2026 at 7:24 pm
Categories: Live Updates

欧元/美元持稳于1.16附近，德国IFO景气指数及GDP表现坚挺；市场已计价欧洲央行加息，上行空间受限

Neon dollar sign on a glass panel with colorful stock market lines in the background.

欧元/美元受德国IFO与GDP终值超预期提振维持1.16高位，但已略高于公允价值且RSI逼近超买；加息预期几近充分计价，关注1.17阻力与1.1650/1.16支撑。

Written on August 25, 2026 at 6:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

欧元兑美元走强，美元延续疲软；德国数据提振欧元，市场聚焦PCE与杰克逊霍尔央行年会

Neon outlined dollar bill on a dark background with reflection on a glossy surface, purple and blue hues showing a currency icon

EUR/USD小幅上行至1.1671，美元受美债回购扩容与财政忧虑压制；德国数据强劲支撑欧元。紧盯PCE与杰克逊霍尔，期权建议买入看涨及做多跨式捕捉波动。

Written on August 25, 2026 at 5:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美国房价指数停滞，强化降息押注并令美元承压

Neon-lit replica of a $100 bill-shaped stack, glowing pink and blue on a dark surface.

美国6月房价指数环比0%，显著低于预期0.2%，住房通胀动能暂歇，强化经济降温与降息预期。策略：做多短端美债期货、买入建商ETF看涨期权、做空DXY。

Written on August 25, 2026 at 4:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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