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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

澳元/美元回落，鹰派人士沃什推升美联储9月加息概率；澳洲联储收紧政策提供支撑

3D scene of Australia’s economy with flags, coins, a dollar sign, stock chart, and a map of Australia

沃什鹰派表态推升9月加息概率至60%，美元走强压制AUD/USD回落至0.7170；澳洲通胀仍偏高支撑再加息预期。关注0.7108支撑、0.7206阻力，布局美元多头与卖波动率策略。

Written on August 29, 2026 at 12:24 am
Categories: Live Updates

沃什在杰克逊霍尔会议上未提供指引，随着加息概率上升，收益率曲线趋于平坦

Modern building at night with pink neon vertical lights along tall glass towers in a dark sky.

沃什杰克逊霍尔未释前瞻指引，强调控通胀与2%目标，仍称金融条件不紧；加息预期升至40%+，曲线趋平、美元走强、金比承压，建议期权对冲。

Written on August 28, 2026 at 11:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美元在沃什发表鹰派言论后反弹；数据潮临近，交易员关注美元指数（DXY）再度测试

Transparent safe with a dollar sign, set against glowing stock charts, symbolizing financial security.

沃什杰克逊霍尔鹰派定调，美元指数反弹逼近100关口；通胀与数据将定调“更高更久”。CFTC净多回落、拥挤度降温，衍生品宜借回调增配美元多头、配置看涨期权。

Written on August 28, 2026 at 11:24 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美联储主席侧重程序的讲话促使期货市场上调9月加息概率预期，推升短端收益率

3D-rendered modern building model on a reflective surface, lit in purple and blue against a dark background

鲍威尔讲话回避前瞻指引，市场仍将9月加息概率上调至55%+、定价抬升约20bp；两年期收益率走高、曲线趋平。建议短端波动率做多与趋平交易，股指偏空。

Written on August 28, 2026 at 10:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

日元下挫：东京通胀走强、就业改善，受美国利率押注推动美元/日元突破160关口

3D glass neon yen symbol standing on a reflective surface with blue-pink gradient background (informative, decorative)

东京通胀与就业仍处BOJ可控区间，日元续贬推动USD/JPY破160；美联储加息预期抬升、利差支撑套息交易，关注161-162，上行伴随干预风险。

Written on August 28, 2026 at 10:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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