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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

随着市场对美联储加息押注升温，金价跌破4,000美元

Stacked gold bars inside a transparent glass display case with purple-blue neon lighting and reflections on the surface.

金价失守4,000美元关口，鹰派加息预期升温成主因；美伊和解降温推高通胀担忧，FedWatch定价9月加息概率67%，关注ADP与非农催化。

Written on July 1, 2026 at 6:06 am
Categories: Today's Analysis

澳大利亚5月建筑许可增速放缓，考验住房市场动能及澳洲联储利率前景

Neon-lit pen signing a transparent sheet with grooves and a signature on a glow blue-pink surface.

澳洲5月建筑许可同比增速降至5.3%，管线动能趋弱，或拖累GDP与就业并促RBA转鸽；建议减配地产建材，布局看跌期权及做空澳元。

Written on July 1, 2026 at 6:00 am
Categories: Live Updates

澳大利亚5月建筑许可下降，令澳洲联储政策前景及澳元承压

3D scene of Australia’s economy with flags, coins, a dollar sign, stock chart, and a map of Australia

澳大利亚5月建筑许可环比降1.1%逆预期，指向高利率抑制需求、在建项目储备走弱；市场或提前计价RBA转鸽，澳元及ASX200承压，波动率抬升。

Written on July 1, 2026 at 5:59 am
Categories: Live Updates

美元/日元在收益率利差扩大拖累下升至162.70附近的数十年高位，干预风险仍存

美元兑日元连创新高至162.70，利差扩张驱动套息交易；干预风险难改中期上行。美就业数据与Fed预期偏鹰或推升至163，上行期权波动率走阔。

Written on July 1, 2026 at 5:30 am
Categories: Live Updates

在PMI疲弱令人民币承压之际，中国人民银行将美元兑人民币中间价定得更坚挺，且高于路透预测值

Neon glow coin with a yen symbol and rising chart lines inside, set against a dark gradient background.

人民币中间价报6.8067虽偏强但仍弱于预期，叠加制造业PMI跌破荣枯线与中美利差压力，央行释放稳增长偏弱汇率信号；关注USD/CNH看涨期权及工业金属下行对冲。

Written on July 1, 2026 at 5:29 am
Categories: Live Updates

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