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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

黑森州CPI8月升至3%，助推欧洲央行鹰派立场并强化市场对冲押注

Open policy document on a neon-lit surface, with a pen poised to sign.

黑森州8月CPI同比升至3%创阶段高点，通胀粘性或迫使ECB维持偏鹰立场。策略：做空Bund期货、买入EUR/USD看涨期权，并以DAX看跌期权对冲权益回撤。

Written on August 31, 2026 at 10:24 am
Categories: Live Updates

阿联酋呼吁缓和霍尔木兹局势，无人机拦截事件推升原油及航运市场风险溢价

霍尔木兹紧张再升级：阿联酋呼吁先降温、恢复航运并推务实方案；军方拦截伊朗无人机或抬升地缘风险溢价，原油与海运保险衍生品波动加剧。

Written on August 31, 2026 at 9:24 am
Categories: Live Updates

月度市场回顾：8月回顾与9月展望

8月市场主线转向通胀粘性与利率再上行风险：美债回购加剧政策张力，美元震荡；AI盈利托底股市，黄金、比特币受财政忧虑与硬资产配置驱动走强。

Written on August 31, 2026 at 9:00 am
Categories: Monthly Market Insights

市场聚焦德国通胀初值和美国就业数据，中东紧张局势推升油价大涨

油价因中东紧张飙破90美元，风险资产承压；德HICP、欧元区通胀与美国非农成定价核心。策略：做多布油期权波动，布局EUR/USD看跌，对冲短端利率鹰派风险。

Written on August 31, 2026 at 8:26 am
Categories: Live Updates

受美伊紧张局势影响油价上涨，印度卢比走弱；美元/印度卢比汇率在关键技术位附近企稳

Neon dollar sign on a glass panel with colorful stock market lines in the background.

美伊冲突推升油价，重压高进口依赖的印度卢比，USD/INR趋强。美联储鹰派致9月按兵不动概率降至39.4%，聚焦非农；建议增配原油及汇率看涨期权。

Written on August 31, 2026 at 8:25 am
Categories: Live Updates

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