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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

德国商业银行认为，美国非农就业报告对市场的影响力正在减弱，美联储关注重点仍在通胀

德国商业银行称：JOLTS改善但非农信号噪音上升，市场定价转向通胀；美联储更看核心PCE，美元对非农敏感度下降，期权波动溢价或收敛，策略宜转向CPI。

Written on July 2, 2026 at 1:59 pm
Categories: Live Updates

欧元/英镑走弱逼近0.8550，欧元区通胀放缓削弱市场对欧洲央行7月加息预期

Large 3D euro symbol glowing in purple beside rising stock charts in a neon-lit dark scene.

欧元区通胀超预期回落削弱ECB再加息押注，EUR/GBP跌至0.8550附近；英国薪资高企支撑BoE偏鹰。关注拉加德、贝利讲话与0.8500支撑破位风险。

Written on July 2, 2026 at 1:30 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美元/日元自40年高位回落，日本干预传闻推升波动率并促使期权重新定价

Neon yen symbol beside a rising blue line chart on a dark background, implying financial growth in Japan's currency or market.

美元/日元自163高位急挫至161，市场押注财务省干预，隐含波动率跃升。技术偏空，关注161/160支撑；策略偏空配置看跌期权，警惕CPI与日银鹰派冲击。

Written on July 2, 2026 at 1:29 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美元/加元回落至1.4190，市场静待美国非农就业数据并重新评估美联储政策前景

Transparent safe with a dollar sign, set against glowing stock charts, symbolizing financial security.

USD/CAD 回吐涨幅、徘徊 1.4190，市场屏息 6 月非农定价美联储降息路径；美国数据转弱压制美元，油价下行掣肘加元，期权隐波上行催生波动率交易机会。

Written on July 2, 2026 at 1:00 pm
Categories: Live Updates

西班牙五年期国债拍卖收益率降至2.835%，市场押注欧洲央行降息提振需求

Open policy document on a neon-lit surface, with a pen poised to sign.

西班牙5年期国债拍卖均值收益率降至2.835%，融资成本下行；德西利差收窄至45bp、CDS至30bp，叠加ECB降息预期升温，风险溢价再压缩。

Written on July 2, 2026 at 12:59 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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