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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

欧洲央行会议纪要指出通胀上行风险，能源价格不确定性令市场对利率维持高位的预期升温

Open policy document on a neon-lit surface, with a pen poised to sign.

欧央行纪要警示通胀上行风险偏向明显，HICP与核心黏性或迫使终端利率上修。关注能源与信贷收紧，建议布局短端上行及波动率机会。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 4:00 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美联储会议纪要凸显鹰派按兵不动，委员会分歧令市场为数据驱动的波动性做好准备

Policy document with a pen resting on it, as if about to sign.

FOMC纪要延续“鹰派按兵不动”，SEP对利率路径五五开；通胀黏性与就业韧性并存，7月加息预期降温但年内再收紧仍留悬念，波动率交易窗口开启。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 3:59 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美伊达成协议加速海湾供应回归，油价下跌；ING预计布伦特原油将延续回落至2027年

油价承压：美伊备忘录促波斯湾供应加速回归、需求修复偏缓且储备释放续行；ING预计布伦特价2026Q3/4为80/74美元，2027均价70美元，地缘风险或冲击100美元。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 3:30 pm
Categories: Live Updates

墨西哥通胀低于预期，强化市场对墨央行降息的押注并打压比索套息交易

Modern building at night with pink neon vertical lights along tall glass towers in a dark sky.

墨西哥6月通胀降至3.37%低于预期，价格压力缓和触发“鸽派”交易：Banxico降息预期升温，短端TIIE利率下行；收益率利差收窄或压制比索，股市风险溢价回落。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 3:29 pm
Categories: Live Updates

墨西哥6月通胀大幅回落，市场计入墨西哥央行降息预期及比索走弱

3D-rendered modern building model on a reflective surface, lit in purple and blue against a dark background

墨西哥6月通胀环比-0.27%超预期下行0.14个百分点，去通胀信号强化；OIS计入8月降息25bp概率85%。政策转向或压制比索，USD/MXN或上探18.75，股市融资成本下行受益。

Written on July 9, 2026 at 3:00 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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