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Recent Posts by josephine

密歇根消费者信心指数不及预期，加剧美国消费前景担忧

密歇根消费者信心10月降至46.3低于预期，创极端低位：消费与增长动能或承压，衰退与降息预期升温，股债汇及隐含波动率或加剧，衍生品宜防御。

Written on October 12, 2026 at 2:36 am
Categories: Live Updates

随着ETF资金流入回暖，CTA回补黄金空头仓位，助推看涨预期延续至2027年

CTA回补黄金空头、削减铂金空头，黄金持仓较历史峰值回升约7%触发系统性买盘；中外黄金ETF持续净流入叠加地缘与财政风险，金价或脱钩实际利率，牛市望延续至2027年。

Written on October 12, 2026 at 2:36 am
Categories: Live Updates

美元/加元升至2025年4月以来高位，疲弱的加拿大就业数据扩大美国收益率优势

加就业数据暴雷拖累加元，美元/加元升至1.4276创阶段新高；美加2年期利差扩至160bp强化看涨预期，交易宜逢低做多并配置期权对冲。

Written on October 12, 2026 at 2:35 am
Categories: Live Updates

投行预计随着“超核心”通胀降温，9月核心CPI涨幅将放缓，但通胀风险仍存

投行预测9月核心CPI环比降至0.20%，supercore与核心服务走软主导；核心PCE约0.23%。中东油价扰动或推升总通胀至2026年底3.9%，交易需防利率再定价。

Written on October 12, 2026 at 2:35 am
Categories: Live Updates

加拿大9月就业人数减少6.83万，强化市场对加拿大央行降息的押注并加大加元承压

加拿大9月就业净减6.83万人，较预期增0.7万大幅反转，触发加元承压、降息预期升温与收益率下行交易；股市短弹难掩盈利下行风险。

Written on October 12, 2026 at 2:35 am
Categories: Live Updates

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