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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

罗马尼亚通胀率受基数效应推动回落，CEE市场计入捷克与波兰进一步收紧政策预期

3D-rendered modern building model on a reflective surface, lit in purple and blue against a dark background

罗马尼亚CPI回落至8.2%但核心粘性，央行料2027前不降息；建议RON短端互换付固定。中欧加息定价偏鹰，做多CZK/PLN接收固定并远期多两币、空HUF。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 9:37 am
Categories: Live Updates

随着油价上涨，卢比走弱；市场静待印度及美国7月通胀数据

Neon dollar sign on a glass panel with colorful stock market lines in the background.

油价因霍尔木兹海峡航运受扰走强，推升印度卢比承压、USD/INR逼近95.52关键均线；市场紧盯印美7月CPI与波动率溢价，衍生品策略偏区间配置。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 8:38 am
Categories: Live Updates

黄金企稳于4,400美元上方，市场聚焦美国CPI公布；霍尔木兹海峡与红海风险支撑油价

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黄金守住4,400美元、原油受地缘冲突及海峡风险支撑，通胀预期升温令美元与收益率走强；CPI发布前宜谨慎，运用期权对冲与波动策略。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 8:37 am
Categories: Live Updates

美国10年期国债期货小幅走低，市场等待通胀信号

美债10年期国债期货108.4附近窄幅震荡，收益率回落至4.68%。关键通胀数据将重塑9月加息25bp预期，关注108.50突破与108.40失守风险。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 7:12 am
Categories: Today's Analysis

黄金与通胀：黄金真的是通胀对冲工具吗？

通胀上行不必然推升金价：真正驱动在实际利率、美元与央行政策。CPI超预期或致收益率上行、美元走强压制黄金；对冲属性偏长期，交易需严格风控。

Written on August 12, 2026 at 4:59 am
Categories: Discover

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