About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

受美国通胀数据超预期推动美联储加息押注升温、美元走强影响，欧元/美元跌至2025年5月以来低点

美国通胀超预期推升美元创年内新高，FedWatch上调加息定价致EUR/USD跌至五月低位；叠加法国政财扰动与技术破位，期权偏空布局瞄准1.1000。

Written on October 15, 2026 at 3:36 am
Categories: Live Updates

美联储《褐皮书》显示就业持平、经济增长略偏上行，各辖区价格压力分化

美联储《褐皮书》称，就业基本持平、经济温和扩张预期偏弱，制造业相对亮眼但不确定性掣肘；物价增速多温和、部分投入压力升温，利率仍为主工具，QE/QT或影响美元走向。

Written on October 15, 2026 at 3:35 am
Categories: Live Updates

美国债务突破40万亿美元，加剧“利率长期维持高位”担忧，推升黄金和白银隐含估值

美国国债突破40万亿美元、债务/GDP约123%，高利率推升利息负担；M2十年增至23.34万亿美元。US Debt Clock隐含金银价暴涨，住房以盎司计比率剧烈波动。

Written on October 15, 2026 at 3:35 am
Categories: Live Updates

由于美国通胀数据火热提振美元及加息预期，纽元/美元跌至2025年4月以来低位

纽元/美元破位至0.5570创阶段新低，美国CPI超预期推升美债收益率与美元指数，市场重定价加息概率；策略转向反弹做空，关注0.5580阻力、0.5540支撑及熊市价差。

Written on October 15, 2026 at 3:35 am
Categories: Live Updates

美元指数升至2025年4月以来高位，强于预期的美国通胀推升加息押注

9月通胀超预期推升加息预期：DXY大涨至102.90创年内高点；CPI、核心CPI回升，收益率上行，隐含10月加息概率升至42%，市场押注2027年再收紧。

Written on October 15, 2026 at 3:34 am
Categories: Live Updates

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