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About: josephine

Recent Posts by josephine

美国通胀走弱及霍尔木兹海峡受扰重塑美联储政策预期，金价自两个月高位回落

Stack of gold bars inside a transparent purple-tinted glass display case on a dark surface, lit with neon glow

金价冲高4,450美元后回落至4,400美元附近震荡；美国通胀与PPI降温压制美元，9月加息概率降至35%以下。地缘风险叠加期权策略，关注4,390美元关键分水岭。

Written on August 14, 2026 at 6:24 pm
Categories: Live Updates

日元交易员严阵以待日本第二季度GDP与CPI公布，市场权衡日本央行收紧政策路径

Transparent glass Yen currency symbol sculpture resting on a reflective surface with a dark gradient background

日本二季度GDP料环比0.5%、消费支撑温和扩张；8月21日CPI或回到2%目标推升加息预期。策略：买短久期USD/JPY看跌、做多JGB并配置日经跨式对冲波动。

Written on August 14, 2026 at 5:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

随着欧洲天然气因液化天然气供应损失而趋紧、霍尔木兹海峡风险上升，改道流量提振布伦特油价

中东风险升温下油气涨势分化：布伦特获改道支撑，TTF受卡塔尔LNG减量与美货转亚洲趋紧。IEA下调需求并警示三季度缺口，建议配置TTF看涨、布伦特区间及近月对冲。

Written on August 14, 2026 at 5:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

诺德亚预计欧洲央行将通过连续三个季度各上调25个基点，将存款机制利率升至3%，并推动收益率上行

Futuristic scene of a transparent robotic hand signing a neon-lit policy document labeled POLICY with a chart visible in the background

警惕欧央行利率上行再定价：Nordea预期存款利率按季度三次各25bp上调至3%，中东局势左右节奏；建议配置短端利率看跌期权、payer swap及做空Bund。

Written on August 14, 2026 at 4:25 pm
Categories: Live Updates

美元/瑞郎触及100%阻力弧线，涨势动能减弱，汇价或下探0.8040

Neon dollar sign on a glass panel with colorful stock market lines in the background.

USD/CHF四小时受阻于Arc Cycle 100%阻力弧，看涨动能衰竭，周期顶部约束强化；若持续受压，或下探0.8040（0.786弧）。利差收窄支撑瑞郎；破位收盘则否定看跌。

Written on August 14, 2026 at 4:24 pm
Categories: Live Updates

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